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Collision 2023 - Day Two
Kaz Nejatian, then Shopify COO, now Opendoor CEO (Ramsey Cardy/Getty Images)

Opendoor Technologies jumps after posting better-than-expected Q4 results

The online real estate company is executing on its strategy of flipping homes much more aggressively.

Luke Kawa

Opendoor Technologies is surging double digits in after-hours trading after posting better-than-expected fourth-quarter results.

For Q4, the online real estate company reported:

  • Revenues of $736 million (estimate: $594.9 million).

  • Adjusted EBITDA of -$43 million (estimate: -$47.5 million, guidance for a loss “in the high $40 millions to mid $50 millions”).

After its Q3 report, management committed to a strategy of flipping homes more aggressively. Opendoor managed to exceed the bar it set on this front, with the number of homes purchased up 46% quarter on quarter and management having targeted an increase of at least 35%. Meanwhile, the 1,978 homes sold in the quarter bested Wall Street’s estimate by nearly 20%.

“This quarter demonstrates we are executing on that plan,” CEO Kaz Nejatian said. “These results reflect structural improvements in how we operate with more accurate pricing, faster inventory turns, and disciplined selection.”

Looking forward, Opendoor said to expect a Q1 adjusted EBITDA loss “in the low to mid $30 millions,” better than the anticipated $37.7 million loss. The revenue outlook, however, is a disappointment, with the firm projecting a decrease of approximately 10% quarter over quarter, while analysts had anticipated a big increase.

The retail enthusiasm and elevated activity that powered the company to fresh multiyear highs in Q3 of last year has waned significantly. We’ll see if this report can rejuvenate traders’ interest in an enduring fashion.

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Lululemon’s stretch getting tested: Stock plunges after after outlook is cut

Lululemon shares are down double digits in premarket trading after the company cut its full-year sales and profit outlook, overshadowing a Q1 beat and raising fresh concerns about the brand’s turnaround efforts.

The company now expects fiscal 2026 revenue to be flat to down 1%, compared with its prior forecast for 2% to 4% growth. Guidance for full-year diluted earnings per share was dragged down to a range of $10.95 to $11.15, below the company’s previous guidance of $12.10 to $12.30 and well below Wall Street’s estimate of $13.26.

Key numbers for Q1:

  • EPS of $1.69 vs. the $1.68 expected.

  • Revenue of $2.47 billion vs. the $2.43 billion expected.

The modest top-line beat masked a widening divergence between Lululemons geographic markets. While international revenue rose 22% overall with a 30% increase in Mainland China, the bigger problem remains North America, where revenue fell 5%.

Interim co-CEO and CFO Meghan Frank acknowledged during the earnings call that recent product rollouts underperformed. A highly anticipated yoga campaign failed to generate its expected halo effect across broader product lines.

Profitability metrics took a major hit, with gross margins contracting by 410 basis points to 54.2% due to mounting tariff costs and promotional markdowns. Operating income consequently fell 37% year over year to $276.9 million.

“We experienced spikes of negative commentary in the media and on social channels with regard to our brand, which had an impact on traffic and overall top-line performance,” Frank said during the earnings call. “And second, not all of our product launches have met our expectations. While we have had several successful launches so far this year, we have seen others as we start Q2 not generate the anticipated guest response.”

Lululemons valuation has already been steadily compressing for years. While it was once one of retails richly valued stocks, investors have been questioning whether the company can return to the double-digit growth era.

The results also arrive during a leadership transition. Lululemon announced back in April that former Nike executive Heidi ONeill is set to take over as CEO in September, with investors looking to her to revive growth in North America and restore the brands growth.

As Lululemon faces both macroeconomic pressure and brand-specific challenges, its stock has dropped around 40% year to date.

markets

US job growth skyrocketed in May, blasting past expectations

The US economy added 172,000 jobs in the month of May, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday, sending 10-year Treasury yields higher.

The strong May job market surprised economists. Experts had predicted only 85,000 new jobs — just half the reported number. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, as expected.

The job growth story is a hopeful spot for the economy as consumers continue to feel inflationary pressure from the Iran war.

Job gains were buoyed by the leisure and hospitality sector, which added 70,000 jobs, as well as local government, healthcare, and education.

Both the March and April jobs reports were revised upward, making them collectively 93,000 higher than previously reported.

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