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Nvidia sheds gains after FT reports that China may limit access to H200 chips despite Trump’s announcement yesterday

There’s no easy fix to Nvidia’s China problem.

The world’s most valuable publicly traded company had extended Monday’s gains during after-hours trading yesterday on the heels of US President Donald Trump’s Truth Social post indicating that the chip designer could begin to sell its H200 chips to China, with 25% of the proceeds going to the US government.

However, the company is reversing those gains this morning, with Nvidia dipping into the red relative to yesterday’s close at its lows, after the Financial Times reported that “regulators in Beijing have been discussing ways to permit limited access to the H200,” according to two people familiar with the matter.

Per the FT, buyers would likely need to go through a lengthy approvals process to get their hands on the H200s — Nvidia’s most advanced chip in its Hopper line, which has since been replaced by the Blackwell generation — and would need to provide an explanation as to why domestic Chinese chips couldn’t perform the tasks at hand.

This feels like déjà vu all over again for Nvidia.

Export restrictions put in place in mid-April during the height of US-China trade tensions prevented the chip designer from sending its H20 chip, a nerfed version of its premium Hopper offering, to China. After that export ban was lifted months later, demand from China “never materialized,” Nvidia CFO Colette Kress said following the company’s Q3 earnings report. Reports suggested that China banned its leading technology giants from purchasing these semiconductors, instead pushing them toward domestic alternatives.

The difference between the H20 and the H200 is one zero (and a lot of computing power). Zero is also the amount of interest that Chinese policymakers would prefer their leading tech companies to have in Nvidia’s chips.

China’s seemingly measured response to its renewed ability to access these chips suggests that the heady thoughts of a $10 billion to $15 billion boost to Nvidia revenues, which Bloomberg Intelligence analysts had anticipated following Monday’s announcement, may need to be tempered.

A bipartisan group of senators doesn’t want China to have access to advanced US chips. Chinese leadership seemingly doesn’t want their tech champions to rely on them. President Donald Trump and Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, on the other hand, don’t mind if they do.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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