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Nvidia Holds Its GTC: Artificial Intelligence Conference
Huang at GTC 2024. He gets older, the outfit stays the same. Alright alright alright (Getty Images)

What Wall Street’s looking for from Jensen Huang’s keynote GTC address

GTC may stand for GPU Technology Conference, but investors are looking for Nvidia to go beyond GPUs.

Luke Kawa

GTC, Nvidia’s big event this week, stands for GPU Technology Conference.

Yet, the media and Wall Street expect the main thrust of Jensen Huang’s keynote address will be how the chip designer is going beyond GPUs, the processor that enabled the AI boom.

Analysts have been hyping the event as a major potential catalyst for the chip designer. That’s despite recent high-profile affairs for the stock tending to see the shares do poorly.

“We expect a very bullish update around enterprise AI demand and expect Jensen to come out with a ‘no holds barred’ positive outlook on the AI industry,” wrote Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives. “This will be a much needed confidence boost for tech investors navigating a very tricky tape.”

Proving out the power of the technology, and the arms race to acquire powerful chips among hyperscalers, is no longer a top-of-mind consideration for investors.

This conference is likely to reflect the shift in sentiment: it’s no longer about what we can dream on, but the dollars and cents this technology can deliver. As such, efficiency and the breadth of Nvidia’s full-stack solutions will be in focus.

Groq

Late in 2025, Nvidia struck a “non-exclusive licensing agreement” with AI inference specialist Groq in an effective acquihire that saw some of its most important employees join the company.

The seeds of that relationship are expected to start to bloom today. Shortly after Nvidia’s Q4 earnings, The Wall Street Journal reported that Nvidia would be revealing “a new system for ‘inference’ computing” at this conference that incorporates a chip designed by Groq.

“We expect NVDA to unveil a next-gen inference rack with (SRAM-based) LPU chips inside at the upcoming 2026 GTC,” wrote Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya, suggesting that this could launch in 2027 or 2028.

Per Arya, Groq’s LPUs offer low latency, energy efficiency, and relative simplicity — and thanks to that, fewer supply chain or execution concerns.

“All of these lead to a chip that is ideal for single-stream or low-batch inference workloads,” he concluded.

During the quasi-veiled spat between OpenAI and Nvidia early this year, Reuters reported that the ChatGPT maker was “unsatisfied” with the inference performance of Nvidia’s AI chips.

CPUs

Nvidia’s recent “multi-year, multi-generational strategic partnership” with Meta includes an enhanced role for its CPUs in data center environments.

Dion Harris, Nvidia’s head of AI infrastructure, told CNBC that “CPUs are becoming the bottleneck in terms of growing out this AI and agentic workflow.”

The outlet reported that the chip designer is likely to unveil a “CPU-only rack” at the conference, with these chips aiming to deliver efficiency improvements for the entire data center package.

After Nvidia’s Q4 results, JPMorgan analyst Harlan Sur wrote:

“We suspect, though, that management has left a lot of ‘meat on the bone’ for GTC next month, including additional details on NVDA’s engagement with META on large-scale Grace/Vera CPU deployments (our view is that NVDA CPUs are being deployed alongside META MTIA ASIC XPUs), the incorporation of Groq’s low-latency inference architecture into upcoming platforms, and perhaps an updated quantification of backlog for the next several quarters.”

Optics

Nvidia recently invested $2 billion apiece in Coherent and Lumentum, two advanced optics companies.

These firms offer solutions that use light rather than electricity to move data around. As part of these partnerships, Nvidia is making purchase commitments for their offerings, so expect to hear more about the efficiency gains available from co-packaged optics and their integration with Nvidia’s product road map.

“The industry’s transition from copper to fiber, and from pluggable optics to Co-Packaged Optics, is addressing a genuine system-level bottleneck,” wrote Ben Bajarin, CEO and principal analyst at Creative Strategies. “The demand tailwind facing network infrastructure companies is real and now visible in public filings.”

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markets

Lululemon’s stretch getting tested: Stock plunges after after outlook is cut

Lululemon shares are down double digits in premarket trading after the company cut its full-year sales and profit outlook, overshadowing a Q1 beat and raising fresh concerns about the brand’s turnaround efforts.

The company now expects fiscal 2026 revenue to be flat to down 1%, compared with its prior forecast for 2% to 4% growth. Guidance for full-year diluted earnings per share was dragged down to a range of $10.95 to $11.15, below the company’s previous guidance of $12.10 to $12.30 and well below Wall Street’s estimate of $13.26.

Key numbers for Q1:

  • EPS of $1.69 vs. the $1.68 expected.

  • Revenue of $2.47 billion vs. the $2.43 billion expected.

The modest top-line beat masked a widening divergence between Lululemons geographic markets. While international revenue rose 22% overall with a 30% increase in Mainland China, the bigger problem remains North America, where revenue fell 5%.

Interim co-CEO and CFO Meghan Frank acknowledged during the earnings call that recent product rollouts underperformed. A highly anticipated yoga campaign failed to generate its expected halo effect across broader product lines.

Profitability metrics took a major hit, with gross margins contracting by 410 basis points to 54.2% due to mounting tariff costs and promotional markdowns. Operating income consequently fell 37% year over year to $276.9 million.

“We experienced spikes of negative commentary in the media and on social channels with regard to our brand, which had an impact on traffic and overall top-line performance,” Frank said during the earnings call. “And second, not all of our product launches have met our expectations. While we have had several successful launches so far this year, we have seen others as we start Q2 not generate the anticipated guest response.”

Lululemons valuation has already been steadily compressing for years. While it was once one of retails richly valued stocks, investors have been questioning whether the company can return to the double-digit growth era.

The results also arrive during a leadership transition. Lululemon announced back in April that former Nike executive Heidi ONeill is set to take over as CEO in September, with investors looking to her to revive growth in North America and restore the brands growth.

As Lululemon faces both macroeconomic pressure and brand-specific challenges, its stock has dropped around 40% year to date.

markets

US job growth skyrocketed in May, blasting past expectations

The US economy added 172,000 jobs in the month of May, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday, sending 10-year Treasury yields higher.

The strong May job market surprised economists. Experts had predicted only 85,000 new jobs — just half the reported number. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, as expected.

The job growth story is a hopeful spot for the economy as consumers continue to feel inflationary pressure from the Iran war.

Job gains were buoyed by the leisure and hospitality sector, which added 70,000 jobs, as well as local government, healthcare, and education.

Both the March and April jobs reports were revised upward, making them collectively 93,000 higher than previously reported.

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