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Nvidia falls after Chinese regulator said it violated the country’s antitrust laws in 2020 deal

Nvidia dropped as much as 2.9% in early trading on Monday after Chinas State Administration for Market Regulation ruled that the chipmaker violated the countrys antitrust laws after acquiring Mellanox Technologies, an Israeli American network solutions supplier.

In 2020, Beijing approved Nvidias ~$7 billion acquisition under the condition that the chipmaker would not discriminate against Chinese companies. Since then, Nvidia has had to redesign its chips to comply with the US government regulations that temporarily banned the company from selling its advanced chips, including the H100, in China.

Mondays preliminary finding from the SAMR comes amid ongoing trade talks between US and Chinese officials in Madrid, with the tariff truce between the worlds two largest economies set to expire in November.

As Sherwood News’ Luke Kawa wrote in August, China has appeared determined to “wean itself off of any dependence on Nvidia and US technology to develop its AI capabilities.”

According to Reuters, under Chinese antitrust law, companies can “face fines of between 1% and 10% of their annual sales from the previous year.” Nvidia’s sales in China generated $17.1 billion of revenue in its most recent fiscal year. Assuming the maximum penalty, the impact would be ~$1.7 billion, less than 1% of Wall Street’s forecast for Nvidia’s total revenue this fiscal year.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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