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Luke Kawa

JPMorgan recommends bullish options bet on Nvidia ahead of earnings

Nvidia, the most valuable stock in the world, has lagged its semiconductor peers over the past three months in the run-up to its fiscal 2026 third-quarter results, due out after Wednesday’s close.

JPMorgan reckons an earnings beat, as well as signs that the company and its suppliers are well positioned to meet the ever-growing demand for its AI offerings, would be sufficient catalysts to unlock a catch-up trade that sends shares soaring back toward all-time highs.

“We favor owning call spreads as a strong beat-and-raise from NVDA and positive commentary around supply could clear recent sector underperformance and could propel NVDA above its average historical move,” wrote Bram Kaplan, head of America equity derivatives strategy at JPM.

The recommendation:

  • Buy calls at a strike price of $197.50 for this Friday’s expiry; and

  • Sell the same amount of calls at a strike price of $207.50 for the same expiry.

The options-implied move is plus or minus ~6.4%. To break even on this position (by the time of expiry, based on current prices), you’d need to see shares up above $199.30.

The chip designer has traded between ~$180 and $210 since the end of September. So, the upper strike on this call spread caps the upside a little below the stock’s October 29 intraday peak of $212.19.

The max gain would be roughly 550% of the premium paid; the max loss, of course, would be 100%.

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Helena Cheng

Lululemon’s stretch getting tested: Stock plunges after after outlook is cut

Lululemon shares are down double digits in premarket trading after the company cut its full-year sales and profit outlook, overshadowing a Q1 beat and raising fresh concerns about the brand’s turnaround efforts.

The company now expects fiscal 2026 revenue to be flat to down 1%, compared with its prior forecast for 2% to 4% growth. Guidance for full-year diluted earnings per share was dragged down to a range of $10.95 to $11.15, below the company’s previous guidance of $12.10 to $12.30 and well below Wall Street’s estimate of $13.26.

Key numbers for Q1:

  • EPS of $1.69 vs. the $1.68 expected.

  • Revenue of $2.47 billion vs. the $2.43 billion expected.

The modest top-line beat masked a widening divergence between Lululemon’s geographic markets. While international revenue rose 22% overall with a 30% increase in Mainland China, the bigger problem remains North America, where revenue fell 5%.

Interim co-CEO and CFO Meghan Frank acknowledged during the earnings call that recent product rollouts underperformed. A highly anticipated yoga campaign failed to generate its expected “halo effect” across broader product lines.

Profitability metrics took a major hit, with gross margins contracting by 410 basis points to 54.2% due to mounting tariff costs and promotional markdowns. Operating income consequently fell 37% year over year to $276.9 million.

“We experienced spikes of negative commentary in the media and on social channels with regard to our brand, which had an impact on traffic and overall top-line performance,” Frank said during the earnings call. “And second, not all of our product launches have met our expectations. While we have had several successful launches so far this year, we have seen others as we start Q2 not generate the anticipated guest response.”

Lululemon’s valuation has already been steadily compressing for years. While it was once one of retail’s richly valued stocks, investors have been questioning whether the company can return to the double-digit growth era.

The results also arrive during a leadership transition. Lululemon announced back in April that former Nike executive Heidi O’Neill is set to take over as CEO in September, with investors looking to her to revive growth in North America and restore the brand’s growth.

As Lululemon faces both macroeconomic pressure and brand-specific challenges, its stock has dropped around 40% year to date.

markets
Paige Oamek

US job growth skyrocketed in May, blasting past expectations

The US economy added 172,000 jobs in the month of May, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday, sending 10-year Treasury yields higher.

The strong May job market surprised economists. Experts had predicted only 85,000 new jobs — just half the reported number. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, as expected.

The job growth story is a hopeful spot for the economy as consumers continue to feel inflationary pressure from the Iran war.

Job gains were buoyed by the leisure and hospitality sector, which added 70,000 jobs, as well as local government, healthcare, and education.

Both the March and April jobs reports were revised upward, making them collectively 93,000 higher than previously reported.

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