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Nike “Just Do It” billboard (Richard Baker/Getty Images)

Nike shares rise as the struggling sneaker icon sidesteps an expected pandemic-era sales dip

To be fair... the bar was low.

Nike shares jumped 2% in after-hours trading Thursday after the sneaker giant’s quarterly results weren’t as bad as Wall Street had feared. While revenue fell 9% to $11.3 billion, it still topped analysts’ forecasts, which had called for the steepest drop since 2020. Earnings per share came in at $0.54, far surpassing the $0.30 forecast by analysts, according to FactSet.

“I don’t think these results are a sign of strength in the Nike business — they are simply better than many of us feared,” said Sheraz Mian, director of research at Zacks Investment Research. “They did better in North America and were able to sustain their margins, but we will have to see if the North America gains can be sustained given renewed worries about the health of consumer spending. All in all, Nike remains a work in progress. The market’s favorable reaction to the results reflects a sigh of relief that things aren’t getting worse.”

Nike’s sales have been challenged in the postpandemic era, including missteps like severing ties with wholesale partners and leaning too heavily on popular styles. Nike shares have fallen 28% over the past year. To get the ball back in its court, Nike has rolled out splashy new collaborations (like the latest one with Kim Kardashian’s Skims) and implemented a “Win Now” strategy that focuses on driving innovation, strengthening direct-to-consumer sales, and heavily discounting extra inventory.

Nike’s newest CEO, Elliott Hill, is confident the strategy will pay off. “The progress we made against the ‘Win Now’ strategic priorities we committed to 90 days ago reinforces my confidence that we are on the right path,” Hill said in the earnings release. “Our outlook for the second half of fiscal 2025 driven by our ‘Win Now’ actions remains consistent with what we communicated last quarter.”

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Lululemon’s stretch getting tested: Stock plunges after after outlook is cut

Lululemon shares are down double digits in premarket trading after the company cut its full-year sales and profit outlook, overshadowing a Q1 beat and raising fresh concerns about the brand’s turnaround efforts.

The company now expects fiscal 2026 revenue to be flat to down 1%, compared with its prior forecast for 2% to 4% growth. Guidance for full-year diluted earnings per share was dragged down to a range of $10.95 to $11.15, below the company’s previous guidance of $12.10 to $12.30 and well below Wall Street’s estimate of $13.26.

Key numbers for Q1:

  • EPS of $1.69 vs. the $1.68 expected.

  • Revenue of $2.47 billion vs. the $2.43 billion expected.

The modest top-line beat masked a widening divergence between Lululemons geographic markets. While international revenue rose 22% overall with a 30% increase in Mainland China, the bigger problem remains North America, where revenue fell 5%.

Interim co-CEO and CFO Meghan Frank acknowledged during the earnings call that recent product rollouts underperformed. A highly anticipated yoga campaign failed to generate its expected halo effect across broader product lines.

Profitability metrics took a major hit, with gross margins contracting by 410 basis points to 54.2% due to mounting tariff costs and promotional markdowns. Operating income consequently fell 37% year over year to $276.9 million.

“We experienced spikes of negative commentary in the media and on social channels with regard to our brand, which had an impact on traffic and overall top-line performance,” Frank said during the earnings call. “And second, not all of our product launches have met our expectations. While we have had several successful launches so far this year, we have seen others as we start Q2 not generate the anticipated guest response.”

Lululemons valuation has already been steadily compressing for years. While it was once one of retails richly valued stocks, investors have been questioning whether the company can return to the double-digit growth era.

The results also arrive during a leadership transition. Lululemon announced back in April that former Nike executive Heidi ONeill is set to take over as CEO in September, with investors looking to her to revive growth in North America and restore the brands growth.

As Lululemon faces both macroeconomic pressure and brand-specific challenges, its stock has dropped around 40% year to date.

markets

US job growth skyrocketed in May, blasting past expectations

The US economy added 172,000 jobs in the month of May, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday, sending 10-year Treasury yields higher.

The strong May job market surprised economists. Experts had predicted only 85,000 new jobs — just half the reported number. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, as expected.

The job growth story is a hopeful spot for the economy as consumers continue to feel inflationary pressure from the Iran war.

Job gains were buoyed by the leisure and hospitality sector, which added 70,000 jobs, as well as local government, healthcare, and education.

Both the March and April jobs reports were revised upward, making them collectively 93,000 higher than previously reported.

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