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Nasdaq is (finally) cracking down on reverse stock splits

Penny stocks' favorite feat of financial engineering is about to get a little bit harder.

Jack Raines

Over the last couple of years, you may have seen a stock chart that looks something like this, where the current price is down 90% or more from a peak of more than $1,000 per share.

But this chart is deceiving: Nikola Motors was never worth $1,977 per share. In an effort to stay listed on the Nasdaq, Nikola issued a 1-30 reverse stock split after its stock price collapsed below $1, a practice that has become increasingly popular over the last few years.

For context, stock exchanges like the Nasdaq and the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) have continued listing standards for companies whose shares trade on their exchanges, and of the main requirements is a share price above $1. When a company’s share price closes below $1 for 30 consecutive trading days, the Nasdaq issues the company a noncompliance warning and gives it 180 days to remedy the situation. However, a delinquent company can request another 180 day grace period when the first period ends, effectively giving it a year to increase its share price. Given that companies can stay listed below $1 for a while, many have, and as of last Thursday, there were 509 stocks listed on US exchanges trading below $1 per share, with 421 of those listed on the Nasdaq. For reference, there were fewer than 12 sub-$1 stocks in the US in early 2021.

Unsurprisingly, companies whose share prices have declined below $1 tend to continue declining, so, to maintain their listings, they have turned to one of the more interesting feats of financial engineering: reverse splits.

Normal stock splits are typically viewed as a positive sign. Companies that have witnessed their share prices climb to the hundreds (or thousands) of dollars often announce stock splits (see Nvidia in 2021 and again in 2024) to maintain a more accessible price.

Reverse splits, however, tend to signal a struggling stock. While General Electric’s stock has done well since its 2021 1-for-8 reverse split, it wasn’t facing delisting warnings, and this move may have been a precursor to the conglomerate’s decision to later split into three separate companies.

A reverse split to avoid delisting usually means the company couldn’t do anything else to keep its stock price above $1. Reverse split volume has continued to increase as more companies’ stock prices slid below $1, with companies carrying out 495 reverse splits in 2023, compared to 102 in 2021.

Last month, electronic trading firm Virtu Financial filed a petition with the SEC asking the Nasdaq to adopt stricter listing requirements:

The bottom line is that current SEC rules that allow high-risk penny stocks to be listed on major stock exchanges present serious investor protection concerns. We believe that it is long past due for the Commission to take a fresh look at its rules around the listing of such securities and ensure that investors are armed with the information they need to assess the investment risks. 

One of Virtu’s primary concerns is that the proliferation of reverse splits threatens to confuse retail investors, with the price increases disguising investment risks. It looks like Nasdaq took notice, and last week, The Wall Street Journal reported that Nasdaq had submitted rule changes to accelerate delistings:

Under one of the proposed changes, companies that reach the end of their second 180-day grace period wouldn’t be able to postpone delisting by seeking an appeal. Instead, their shares would move to the over-the-counter market—a sort of purgatory where companies land after being delisted—while they await the appeal. Effectively, the rule change caps the amount of time that sub-$1 stocks can be listed on Nasdaq to roughly a year.

The second proposed rule change would speed up the delisting process for companies that recently did a reverse stock split. Under the change, if a company carried out a reverse split to prop up its share price, but then its stock fell below $1 within a year, Nasdaq would immediately send the company a delisting notice.

This is, to me, a long-overdue change. The idea that a company facing delisting could simply change its stock price without an improvement in the underlying business felt a bit… scummy. 

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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