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Morgan Stanley thinks betting sites are like ride-sharing apps

Is FanDuel Uber? And does that make DraftKings Lyft?

Morgan Stanley gaming analysts posited that the similar dynamics to ride-sharing apps — with one persistent dominant player, Uber — could be taking shape in the online sports-betting market, as FanDuel has been starting to pull ahead in market share. They wrote:

The US market structure has increasingly narrowed toward a duopoly with FanDuel/DKNG controlling 80-85% of the sports betting market (70-75% overall with iGaming). However, Fanduels recent share gains coupled with higher win rates and margins at the same time that Draftkings share has plateaued with limited win rate upside have shifted the debate to whether the market structure will emulate rideshare where the #1 player (UBER) controls ~70% of market while #2 (LYFT) controls the remaining ~30%.

That’s one way to interpret the wide performance gap between DraftKings and FanDuel parent Flutter Entertainment over the past year.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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