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Luke Kawa

Michael Burry sells his entire GameStop position after its bid for eBay

GameStop shareholder Michael Burry has some thoughts about the retailer’s offer to buy eBay for $55.5 billion.

But the tweet and opening line of the latest article from the hedge fund manager of “The Big Short” fame turned Substacker may muddle his overall message:

*BURRY SAYS GAMESTOP BID FOR EBAY ‘MAKES PERFECT SENSE’

From our perch, Burry’s headlined comment that the bid “makes perfect sense” seems to be imbued with a hefty dose of sarcasm, and comes in a piece that’s full of skepticism about how the financials would work. The more important thing to highlight is that he’s decided to “certainly sell to an extent, perhaps all or some” of his GameStop position this week. In an update after the close on Monday, Burry said on Substack that he had indeed sold his entire position in GameStop:

Any which way I sliced it, the Instant Berkshire thesis was never compatible with >5x Debt/EBITDA, never ok with interest coverage under 4.0x...
As a result, GME is the first sale since I started this Substack.

Well that pretty much confirms our thoughts on how to interpret his “perfect sense” remark, given the context:

“Still, at the end of the day, this play for eBay makes perfect sense.

Wall Street does indeed mistake debt for creativity, and does so constantly.

I of all people should have known.

Charlie Munger once said, ‘When a manager with a reputation for brilliance tackles a business with a reputation for bad economics, it is the reputation of the business that remains intact’.”

Burry appears to be saying this “makes perfect sense” because folks in financial circles will think it is smart, not because it actually is.

To be fair, Burry also wrote, “I do support the effort,” but also offers a lot of negative commentary about the bid.

For instance:

“Neither does this seem revolutionary or ground-breaking in nature. More dilution, or more debt — really, the capital markets strategy here could not be more pedestrian.”

“If Ryan really wanted to compete with Amazon, he would have acquired Wayfair (70% of its own last mile deliveries and warehouses all over) along with a cash flow machine and a bunch of float. I heard someone was peddling such a deal back in early February.”

“If GameStop wants to do it [editor’s note: dominate collectibles and used goods] with billions of interest expense and all manner of covenants restricting its movements, it will not be breaking new ground. It will be trotting in well-worn ruts on the road to capitalist Hell.

No new ground has been broken yet. To truly break new ground, Ryan has to execute and succeed in this transformation from this starting position, saddled with debt.”

Burry would have preferred if GameStop elected to buy a position in or bid for a company that he highlighted as a more appropriate target, including the aforementioned Wayfair.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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