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Memory stocks shine in messy day for markets

Micron and Sandisk shook off an otherwise “meh” tech sector performance Monday after the two memory bellwethers received an analyst initiation.

It was a “buy” on both counts from Melius Research, adding to the growing consensus view that there’s no end in sight for data center-related storage demand as the AI capital-spending boom continues.

The newly minted Sandisk watchers at Melius slapped a target price of $1,350 on the stock — a 36% premium to Friday’s close. Their target for memory chip maker Micron was $700, a 40% premium to Friday’s close.

The reason? (At this point do we even have to ask?)

Obviously it’s optimism that the parabolic surge in pricing power for memory products amid the AI boom can last.

Analyst Ben Reitzes argues that memory sellers may effectively offer “subscriptions” — aping the software business model that they’re helping to displace — in a way that protects their margins over time.

Other AI memory plays had something of a mediocre day: hard disk drive maker Seagate Technology Holdings was up, while its arch rival, Western Digital, was down. But the optimistic tone of the note was enough to send Micron and Sandisk to new record highs on an intraday basis. (Sandisk has to close above Friday’s $2,965.66 and Micron has to close above Friday’s $541.59 for the records to stick.)

Obviously, new records are an old hat for both companies. Micron and Sandisk have been on a romp for much of the past 12 months, in which they’re up a cool 550% and 3,100%, respectively.

The newly minted Sandisk watchers at Melius slapped a target price of $1,350 on the stock — a 36% premium to Friday’s close. Their target for memory chip maker Micron was $700, a 40% premium to Friday’s close.

The reason? (At this point do we even have to ask?)

Obviously it’s optimism that the parabolic surge in pricing power for memory products amid the AI boom can last.

Analyst Ben Reitzes argues that memory sellers may effectively offer “subscriptions” — aping the software business model that they’re helping to displace — in a way that protects their margins over time.

Other AI memory plays had something of a mediocre day: hard disk drive maker Seagate Technology Holdings was up, while its arch rival, Western Digital, was down. But the optimistic tone of the note was enough to send Micron and Sandisk to new record highs on an intraday basis. (Sandisk has to close above Friday’s $2,965.66 and Micron has to close above Friday’s $541.59 for the records to stick.)

Obviously, new records are an old hat for both companies. Micron and Sandisk have been on a romp for much of the past 12 months, in which they’re up a cool 550% and 3,100%, respectively.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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