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Stocks slide on inflation fears as oil climbs

Tech fell and oil rose, while investors grew concerned that oil supply disruption from the ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz could drive inflation.

Tasha Matsumoto

Stocks fell from records, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 dropping on the day. The S&P 500 eked out a weekly gain — its seventh straight winning week — while the Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000 finished the week lower as investors grow concerned that oil supply disruption from the ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz could drive up inflation.

Persistent inflation could, in turn, force the Fed to hike rates. Traders are now pricing in a 38% chance that the central bank’s next rate hike will occur before 2027, up from a 20% chance a week ago.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

Energy was the only sector to finish in the green as oil prices jumped after President Trump told Fox News that that he is “not going to be much more patient” with Iran. Materials was the worst performer.

Bitcoin gave back the bump it got from the CLARITY Act clearing the Senate Banking Committee on Thursday.

Stocks that moved higher:

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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