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Luke Kawa

Lumentum reports better-than-expected Q3 earnings, Q4 guidance above estimates

Lumentum’s marginal revenue beat in Q3 sparked a knee-jerk “sell the news” event despite strong Q3 bottom-line results and Q4 guidance to match, but shares have since rebounded to trade higher in the postmarket.

The recent addition to the S&P 500 reported Q3 results of:

  • Net revenue: $808.4 million (compared to analyst estimates of $805 million and guidance for $780 million to $830 million).

  • Adjusted earnings per share: $2.37 (estimate: $2.27, guidance for $2.15 to $2.35).

For Q4, management expects net revenues to come in between $960 million and $1.01 billion (estimate: $936.6 million) with adjusted earnings per share of $2.85 to $3.05 (estimate: $2.75).

“As our key growth drivers of co-packaged optics and optical circuit switches begin to kick in, we would expect further increases in earnings power,” said CEO Michael Hurlston.

Lumentum received a $2 billion investment and purchase commitment from none other than Nvidia earlier this year, as there’s intense appetite for its lasers and switches that are used to move information around in data centers.

In April, Hurlston said that the company is “falling further and further behind the demand” for its optical components and would be sold out through all of 2028 within two quarters.

The advanced optics company is a top 5 performer in the US benchmark index year to date.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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