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The legal push to neuter vulture funds

Jack Raines

The effectiveness of the coolest-named investment vehicle in finance, the “vulture fund,” may soon be limited, as New York lawmakers introduced a new bill to curb their legal maneuvering.

For context, vulture funds are hedge funds that seek to profit from buying up very cheap bonds that are close to, or already in, default (often sovereign debt issued by foreign countries), then suing for lucrative payouts. The most famous of these vulture fund litigations was a series of disputes between American hedge funds, led by Paul Singer’s Elliott Management, and the government of Argentina between 2001 and 2016.

In 2001, Argentina defaulted on $82 billion of sovereign bonds at the depth of its worst economic crisis in history. 93% of creditors accepted Argentina’s offer to issue them new bonds worth about 30% of the value defaulted bonds, but 7% of the bondholders, including Elliott Management, refused to take the reduced payout. One reason that these hedge funds refused Argentina’s discounted settlement was that the defaulted bonds had variable interest rates, and the interest rates spiked to 101% after the country defaulted. Basically, if they won in court, they would get a massive payout. 15 years after Argentina defaulted, these funds eventually scored a combined $4.65 billion payout, receiving around 75% of what they were owed.

This new bill would restore a full legal doctrine known as champerty, which would halt frivolous lawsuits taken by creditors who had only bought claims in order to sue, as opposed to traditional creditors who take part in restructuring negotiations. It would also cut the penalty rates applied to defaulted sovereign bond payments from 9% to the interest rates on one-year Treasury bills, which are currently 5%.

Basically, if this bill passes, “investors” could no longer buy foreign debt for pennies on the dollar with the sole intent of suing for a massive payout, holding foreign nations hostage until they met the creditors’ demands.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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