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The last time the S&P 500 dropped more than 2% was 512 days ago
Sherwood News

The last time the S&P 500 dropped more than 2% was 512 days ago

US stocks have climbed steadily this year, up 19% so far

Up 20 in ‘24?

The American stock market continues to climb higher, with the S&P 500 Index now just one more little uptick away from a 20% rise for 2024 — a surge that’s been about as smooth as it can be.

The chart below shows every individual day on the US stock market since 2020: so far this year, the flagship American index has only moved more than 2% in either direction once, when it gained 2.1% back in February.

The last time the S&P 500 dropped more than 2% was 512 days ago
Sherwood News

Indeed, the last time the index fell 2% (a common occurrence during the more volatile days of 2020 and 2022) was all the way back in early 2023. That was 512 days, or 351 trading sessions, ago.

Small but mighty

In recent days, the AI trade — which powered much of the gains earlier this year — has given way to a new sentiment, as investors have rewarded smaller stocks. As Luke Kawa wrote yesterdaythe Russell 2000 Index gained a whopping 3.5%, its fifth straight gain of 1% or more… making it the largest five-day outperformance of small caps versus the S&P 500 on record”.

Ironically, tech stocks have been the laggards of the last few days. But, everything’s relative: technology is still the best performing sector of the year so far (+25% in 2024).

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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