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Jefferies rises after report of potential takeover from Japan’s SMFG

Jefferies jumped 10% in premarket trading on Tuesday after the Financial Times reported that Japan’s second-largest lender, Sumimoto Mitsui Financial Group, is working on plans for a possible takeover of the US investment bank.

While any potential move is not imminent, SMFG has assembled a small team to prepare if a continued drop in Jefferies’ share price creates an opportunity, according to the Financial Times, citing people familiar with the matter. Jefferies’ stock has fallen roughly 40% since the start of the year before today’s move, bringing its market cap to around $8 billion — a fraction of Tokyo-listed SMFG, which is worth ~$124 billion.

SMFG’s banking subsidiary already holds a minority stake in Jefferies after taking a 5% position in 2021, which was then increased to ~20% last September with a $912 million investment. The two banks have also recently launched a joint venture in Japan, which SMFG is “treating as a test case for integration and a form of due diligence,” the FT reported.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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