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Ives: Tariff pause “pulls stocks and the market from the edge,” but China remains the X factor for Apple

He says the week since the tariff rout began has “been an epic debacle.”

Matt Phillips

Dan Ives, the high-metabolism tech analyst at brokerage firm Wedbush Securities, is first to our inbox with a reaction to the president’s announcement that he would simultaneously hike tariffs on China and delay for 90 days the implementation of the sky-high broad tariffs he announced a week ago.

He writes:

“This was the news we and everyone on the Street was waiting for... Now we would expect massive negotiations across the board over the coming months including China being front and center as the biggest wild card. For tech stocks this was much needed relief and pulls stocks and the market from the edge of the cliff although China remains the biggest X variable related to Apple and the broader supply chain.”

But he adds that, relief rally aside, the tariffs have “been an epic debacle over the last week in the Beltway and real damage has already been done to the economy, but now China remains the key obstacle to figure out and this greatly impacts the US tech industry.”

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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