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HP slides on weak 2026 outlook and layoffs despite topping quarterly estimates

HP slumped more than 5% in premarket trading after the computer and printer giant announced weaker-than-expected guidance for fiscal 2026 alongside plans for a roughly 10% cut to its workforce. The company reported having 58,000 employees as of October 2024, per its latest annual filing.

For the fiscal fourth quarter ended October 31, sales rose 4% year over year to $14.64 billion, topping the $14.48 billion expected. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $0.93, just about 1% ahead of the LSEG consensus.

What spooked investors was HP’s soft FY2026 EPS forecast of $2.90 to $3.20, well below Wall Street’s $3.33 estimate at the midpoint. The company said its outlook reflects “the added cost driven by the current U.S. trade-related regulations in place, and associated mitigations.”

Behind the muted outlook is a sharp rise in memory chip prices — now 15% to 18% of a typical PC’s cost — which may offset some of the lift HP’s PC business is getting from Windows 11 upgrades, while the printer segment remains a drag, with revenue down 4% as customers delay purchases.

The company also announced plans to reduce global headcount by around 4,000 to 6,000 employees as part of a restructuring tied to a new AI push — with CEO Enrique Lores saying in an interview with Yahoo Finance that AI will eventually do many tasks better and faster. HP expects the plan to generate $1 billion in annualized savings by FY2028. The move mirrors its 2022 restructuring, which also targeted up to 6,000 job cuts and ultimately delivered $2.2 billion in gross savings, per the company.

With this morning’s slide, HP shares are down nearly 30% for the year.

What spooked investors was HP’s soft FY2026 EPS forecast of $2.90 to $3.20, well below Wall Street’s $3.33 estimate at the midpoint. The company said its outlook reflects “the added cost driven by the current U.S. trade-related regulations in place, and associated mitigations.”

Behind the muted outlook is a sharp rise in memory chip prices — now 15% to 18% of a typical PC’s cost — which may offset some of the lift HP’s PC business is getting from Windows 11 upgrades, while the printer segment remains a drag, with revenue down 4% as customers delay purchases.

The company also announced plans to reduce global headcount by around 4,000 to 6,000 employees as part of a restructuring tied to a new AI push — with CEO Enrique Lores saying in an interview with Yahoo Finance that AI will eventually do many tasks better and faster. HP expects the plan to generate $1 billion in annualized savings by FY2028. The move mirrors its 2022 restructuring, which also targeted up to 6,000 job cuts and ultimately delivered $2.2 billion in gross savings, per the company.

With this morning’s slide, HP shares are down nearly 30% for the year.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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