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Mortgage refinancing wave
(Mario Tama/Getty Images)

The housing market is finally responding to lower interest rates

Less money spent on interest payments frees up more cash for households to spend everywhere else.

The sharp drop in mortgage rates over the last six months — when the 30-year fixed mortgage rate dove from more than 7% to nearly 6% — is finally generating a reaction. Refinancing activity has picked up sharply, with the Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly refinancing index rising to its highest level since early 2022.

By way of background, this is exactly how the Fed’s monetary policy shift to cutting rates is supposed to feed through to the economy.

As the Fed signaled it would cut rates, long term government bond yields dropped, pulling mortgage rates down too.

When homeowners refinance, this typically reduces the amount of money they pay for housing, putting additional cash in their pocket to be spent elsewhere.

And depending on how far mortgage rates fall, this helpful economic trend could continue for a while, offering a much-needed tailwind for the economy.

Of course, if mortgage rates fall too low, that could be an unwelcome signal that something has gone pretty wrong in the US job market.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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