Markets
Businessman With Crystal Ball
(GraphicaArtis/Getty Images)
Rice Rice Pay Me

What you need to know about futures’ past before adding them to your present

Everything you need to know about the basis and basics of futures if you’re considering adding the derivatives to your trading arsenal.

Toby Bochan

Welcome to Sherwood’s deep dive into futures markets, presented in partnership with CME Logo


To talk about the financial vehicles known as futures, we need to step back into the past: the distant past of Japan, where the instruments were invented in the 17th century.

The days of futures’ past

It all started with rice. The rice trade — which is also behind the candlesticks in a stock chart — fostered the first futures contracts. Rice was the original way samurai were paid and taxes were levied, and early futures contracts allowed farmers and their buyers to lock in the price for a delivery of rice at a set, future date, allowing the producers to have enough capital to carry them through the harvest season, the samurai to have a stable income, and wholesalers to secure a reliable price that wouldn’t be affected by a bad harvest.

Fresh takes on financial news

Subscribe and thrive

snacks logo

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA.

While the contracts aimed to reduce risks for the key parties, that also presented an opportunity for those who were willing to speculate on the underlying asset’s price. Soon, futures contracts themselves were bought and sold, and the contracts expanded to other commodities and beyond.

The modern futures contract

While much has changed — traders don’t necessarily take physical delivery of the goods underlying a futures contract these days — some things have carried on: futures contracts still have a set date that obligates the parties to buy or sell the underlying asset at a predetermined price, but what that asset might be has broadened since the 17th century.

The first futures market in the US opened in Chicago in 1848, which America’s biggest futures marketplace, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), still calls home. 

Underlying assets that underpin modern futures contracts include:

  • Commodities, such as coffee, soybeans, lumber, and corn

  • Natural gas and crude oil

  • Equities and stock indexes, like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100

  • Fiat currencies, such as the euro or the yen

  • Cryptocurrencies

  • Metals, like gold, silver, and copper

  • Interest rates

For those who are familiar with trading options, one key difference is that while options are contracts with set dates, they give each side only the “option” to buy or sell at the predetermined price, while futures contracts are an obligation. Let’s dive into the details of what makes up such a contract in modern markets and what you need to know about each aspect. 

The five specifications of futures contracts

Futures contracts have five main elements you’ll want to grasp before you place your first order. Because America is the land of golden corn fields, we’ll come back to that as our example in each specification.

  • Contract size: the standard amount of an asset in each contract, which varies from asset to asset. For example, one crude oil contract is always 1,000 barrels, while a standard corn futures contract stands for 5,000 bushels.

  • Contract value: commonly also called “notional value,” this equals the contract size times the current price of the asset. So if corn is trading at $4 a bushel, the notional value of one corn futures contract is $20,000.

  • Tick size: a “tick” is the minimum amount a particular futures contract can fluctuate. This can be in dollars, cents, or even a fraction of a cent, as is the case with corn. The smallest amount a corn contract can fluctuate is by a quarter cent a bushel, or $0.0025. Multiply that by the 5,000 bushels in a corn contract and it equals $12.50, which is the tick value per corn contract.

  • Trading hours: one of the most attractive things about futures to many traders is that futures markets’ expanded hours allows them to act on news or other aftermarket information when the stock market is closed. But they are not 24/7. 

    • Equities-based futures markets are typically open from Sunday evening at 5 p.m. CT (remember, many major markets are based in Chicago) until Friday afternoon at 4 p.m. CT, and have a daily 60-minute break. 

    • Agricultural futures (like corn) are a bit different. They trade from Sunday through Friday, 7 p.m. to 7:45 a.m., and Monday through Friday, 8:30 a.m. to 1:20 p.m. CT. As you can see, trading corn is a bit trickier time-wise, and if you assume it’s the same as equities futures markets, you could miss an opportunity that may make your corn futures strategy pop.

  • Delivery: at the end date of a futures contract, it is either financially settled or physically delivered. Obviously, most traders aren’t actually looking to get 5,000 bushels of corn, but if you’ve ever heard the legend of the McDonald’s McRib being connected to low hog prices, you can understand how real-life restaurant chains would want to buy a lot of lean hog futures contracts when the price was low and lock in that meat deal. The terms of the delivery will be specified in the contract, and luckily for traders, most brokerages won’t allow everyday investors to take delivery in physical form so you won’t end up needing to buy a silo to store that corn.

How to decode a futures listing

Futures contracts look a little different from other things you might trade. On most platforms, futures contracts will be distinguished by a forward slash to differentiate them from similarly named equities. The listings will also end with a letter that indicates the month the contract will expire. Those month codes aren’t intuitive, with January being indicated by F and August by… Q? Here’s the full list for reference.

This is a good place to pause before we dive into the next part, which will explore why futures are useful for modern markets and active traders as well as explain leverage, margin requirements, and the risks involved.

Until then, test your knowledge with our Futures Quiz.

More Markets

See all Markets
markets

United beats Q1 earnings and revenue estimates, lowers full-year profit guidance amid surging jet fuel prices

United Airlines reported its first-quarter earnings results after the bell on Tuesday. The carrier’s shares ticked down in after-hours trading.

For Q1, United reported:

  • Adjusted earnings of $1.19 per share, compared to the Wall Street estimate of $1.08 per share compiled by FactSet.

  • $14.6 billion in revenue, compared to the $14.39 billion consensus estimate.

In the first quarter, United’s fuel expense grew 12.6% from the same period last year to $3.04 billion.

For the second quarter, United expects adjusted earnings per share of between $1 and $2, shy of Wall Street expectations of $2.08. For the full year ahead, United said it expects earnings between $7 and $11 per share, compared to its prior guidance of between $12 and $14 per share.

“Guidance assumes United’s revenue recovers 40% to 50% of the fuel price increases in the second quarter, 70% to 80% of the fuel price increases in the third quarter and 85% to 100% of the fuel price increases in the fourth quarter 2026,” read the company’s investor update.

Earlier this month, United was among the first major US airlines to hike its bag fees amid higher fuel costs. Its shares have fallen more than 15% from a February high days before the war in Iran began.

United has also made waves this month following reports that CEO Scott Kirby had floated the idea of a merger with American Airlines to President Trump. A merger between two of the big four airlines would create a true US behemoth, controlling more than a third of the American market. American Air last week said it wasn’t interested in merging with United and hadn’t held talks on the idea. On Tuesday, Trump told CNBC that he doesn’t like the idea either.

markets

Hedge funds are following retail traders into the Magnificent 7

Hedge funds are following retail traders into the stocks the masses never stopped buying.

“As we kick off earnings for megacap tech stocks, this stood out: [hedge funds] have started buying Mag7 stocks again this month though positioning remains well below the peak levels seen in early 2016,” wrote Goldman Sachs’ Cullen Morgan.

Goldman PB Mag 7
Source: Goldman Sachs

In early April, JPMorgan strategist Arun Jain noted that retail investors had basically been selling everything but the Magnificent 7 stocks as part of a more cautious stance due to the Iran war.

(Apple has been a long-standing exception to this trend, presumably because retail traders arent fond of its hands-off approach to AI.)

JPM Retail flows

Last August, Jain discussed how retail activity tended to “crowd in” institutional buyers in meme stocks, while Goldman’s John Marshall advised clients to piggyback on stocks beloved by retail traders. Speculative, retail-geared assets proceeded to go on a tremendous run that soured in October.

But there are some early indications that a similar bout of speculative fervor is bubbling up once more.

markets

POET Technologies surges above $10 for first time in 4 years amid explosion in call volumes

POET Technologies is up nearly 40% this week as options market activity goes haywire in a faint echo of what got the stock on retail traders’ radars in October.

As of 11:12 a.m. ET, more than 10 calls have changed hands for every put traded. This bullish impulse has propelled the stock above the $10 threshold for the first time since March 2022.

Shares of the optical communications firm briefly dipped last week after Wolfpack Research said it was short the company because its investors would be exposed to an “IRS tax nightmare.”

The company responded that day saying it was taking measures for US shareholders that “should mitigate certain potential adverse US federal income tax consequences to it that could otherwise result from the Company’s status as a passive foreign investment company.”

Latest Stories

Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC. Futures and event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC.