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Jon Keegan

CrowdStrike beats on Q3 revenue and earnings

CrowdStrike eked out beats on both earnings and revenue for the third quarter, while also raising its full-year guidance.

The cybersecurity company reported earnings of $0.96 per share, beating analysts’ consensus estimate of $0.94 per share.

The company saw $1.23 billion in sales for the quarter, up 22% year on year, beating analysts’ expectation of $1.21 billion in sales. The company reported a net loss of about $34 million.

Subscription revenue was $1.17 billion, up 21% year on year.

Shares were little changed in after-hours trading. The stock is up nearly 50% since the start of the year.

The company’s annual recurring revenue reached $4.92 billion as of October 31, up 23% year on year. The analyst consensus was $4.895 billion.

The company raised its fiscal year 2026 guidance for revenue to between $4.8 billion to $4.81 billion (previously $4.75 billion to $4.81 billion), and upped its outlook for adjusted earnings per share to a range of $3.70 to $3.72 (previously $3.60 to $3.72).

Burt Podbere, CrowdStrike’s CFO, wrote in the press release:

“We delivered outstanding third quarter results, exceeding expectations across all guided metrics. Total revenue growth accelerated to 22% year-over-year, and we delivered record cash flow from operations of $398 million and record Q3 free cash flow of $296 million. We are capitalizing on the AI-driven demand environment as customers consolidate on the Falcon platform, driving our pipeline to an all-time high.”

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Fox to acquire Roku in $22 billion deal to create streaming and live content powerhouse

Fox said it struck a deal to buy Roku in a cash-and-stock transaction valued at about $22 billion.

The deal values Roku at $160 a share, a 34% premium to where the stock had closed before reports surfaced Friday that Roku was exploring a sale, sending shares 20% higher on Friday.

On Monday, the stock edged lower to around $140, as investors digested the risk profile and timeline of the deal. Fox stock dropped 17%, putting it at down roughly 25% so far this year.

The deal, expected to close in the first half of calendar year 2027, will expand Fox’s digital footprint as traditional cable continues to shrink. The merger would give Fox direct access to more than 100 million streaming households globally. Once the transaction closes, existing Fox shareholders will hold a roughly 73% stake in the combined company, with Roku shareholders owning the remaining 27%.

Fox has spent the past several years building out its streaming strategy through Tubi and, more recently, FOX One, its direct-to-consumer sports and news product. Just last week, Roku added FOX One as a premium subscription inside its Roku Channel, expanding distribution ahead of the FIFA World Cup.

Roku, meanwhile, has been trying to prove it can turn its scale into consistent profits. Roku generated $613 million in ad revenue in its latest quarter, up 27% year over year.

Roku had surged during the pandemic as investors piled into streaming winners and Roku was one of the beneficiaries of the stay-at-home boom. But it has given back much of those gains.

Fox CEO Lachlan Murdoch called the acquisition “a defining moment” that combines Fox’s strength in live content with Roku’s streaming scale and platform reach. “This combination will transform the scope of our company into high-growth verticals and yield a step change in our overall growth profile,” he said in the announcement.

Roku CEO Anthony Wood said the deal would help accelerate Roku’s long-term growth while maintaining its position as an open platform.

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Nvidia to reportedly raise at least $20 billion in first bond sale since 2021

While other tech companies are turning toward equity markets to finance their latest AI investment plans, Nvidia is reportedly about to tap the corporate bond market for the first time since 2021.

Per Bloomberg, the world’s most valuable company plans to raise at least $20 billion by selling bonds with maturities ranging from 2 to 30 years. Initial chatter has the 30-year maturities priced at a spread of roughly 90 basis points to US Treasurys.

When Nvidia last issued 30-year debt in 2021, markets were still reeling from Covid-induced lockdowns and the coupon was about 220 basis points above the rate on US 30-year government debt.

Does Nvidia need the money? Unequivocally, no. But when you can raise money through the mid-2050s at less than a percentage point above US Treasurys, I suppose you don’t say no. It’s better (and cheaper) to raise money when you don’t have to compared to when you’re in dire straits.

And of course, while there’s been some tiptoeing into stock issuance, the credit market has still been the dominant means by which megacap tech companies look to find extra cash to facilitate their AI outlays. Google, in particular, has gone on a United Nations issuance spree this year.

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Energy stocks follow oil lower as Strait of Hormuz set to reopen

Oil names including Occidental Petroleum, Marathon Petroleum, CF Industries, Devon Energy, Phillips 66, ConocoPhillips, Exxon, and Chevron are all ticking lower on Monday, following oil itself, after the US and Iran agreed to strike a deal to end a conflict that has pushed energy stocks up in recent months.

Alongside the countries both declaring the end of their military operations, US President Donald Trump said on Sunday that the Strait of Hormuz would be opened when the agreement is signed in Switzerland on Friday, writing on Truth Social, “Ships of the World, start your engines. Let the oil flow!

Let the oil flow?

Vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, however, remains largely unchanged since the announcement of the peace deal on Sunday, per crossing data tracked by AIS. With the exception of some smaller vessels and prearranged crossings, shipowners are likely waiting for the planned signing on Friday and further confirmation from the Iranian side before attempting transits.

Analysts at the Baltic and International Maritime Council said that they “still consider it very risking for ships to commence transits” through Hormuz, adding that they “expect it will take several weeks for all [trapped] ships to leave” in a conversation with CNN.

US-POLITICS-DIPLOMACY

Stocks soar as US and Iran reach deal to open Strait of Hormuz, end the war

The details of the framework for peace are not yet available.

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AMD shares climb on double Citi upgrade to “buy” with $575 price target

AMD’s shares are rising in premarket trading following a double upgrade from Citi. Citi analyst Atif Malik raised AMD’s investment rating to “buy” from “neutral” and boosted the bank’s 12-month price target to $575 from $460 per share, per Barron’s.

Malik argued that the broader market currently misprices AMD by looking at it primarily as a CPU producer, underestimating its massive GPU potential. Citi says that AMD is uniquely “poised to win the lion’s share” of Meta’s customized graphics chip business. Meta is leaning into AMD’s custom MI450 chips, which deliver a lower total cost of ownership compared to buying traditional off-the-shelf merchant hardware, according to Investing.com.

Citi highlighted a massive multiyear deal between the two tech giants involving a 160 million-share common stock warrant. As the first phase ramps up through 2027, Citi expects each gigawatt of data center infrastructure to translate into roughly $15 billion in revenue. Consequently, Citi hiked its 2027 AMD AI sales forecast to $33 billion (up 137% year over year) and projects GPU sales to reach $50.8 billion by 2028.

CEO Lisa Su recently delivered an optimistic demand forecast, predicting that the global market for CPUs will grow by more than 35% annually over the next five years. The chipmaker delivered a robust Q1 earnings report back in May that beat Wall Street expectations across key data center segments.

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