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Critical Metals is now worth more than $3 billion. It had only four full-time employees at the end of June

The rare earth trade has been heating up, even in tiny stocks with very few employees.

Since President Trump’s interest in the sector kicked off a flurry of buying activity, the hottest trade on Wall Street has been in rare earth stocks.

Names like Critical Metals, MP Materials, USA Rare Earth, and United States Antimony Corp. have soared as investors wager that the US government’s involvement in the sector — which has included directly buying stakes in some companies, providing financing for others, and greenlighting a growing number of projects — will continue. With China recently stepping up restrictions on exporting rare earth metals, those bets have turned out to be well made.

Critical Metals Corp., which engages in the mining, exploration, and development of lithium metals via its Wolfsberg and Tanbreez projects, has been one of the biggest beneficiaries. From a market cap in early May that was below $150 million, the company’s stock has soared, turning it into a more than $3 billion entity as of yesterday’s close. That’s more than what embattled fitness equipment maker Peloton is worth.

In early October, CRML, which has a 92% stake in Greenland’s biggest rare earths mining project, leaped after rumors swirled that the US government was looking at taking a stake in the company. Sources later cited by Bloomberg denied that such a deal was being considered — but that hasn’t stopped the stock from taking off.

A good example of just how far investors are willing to bet on the future, CRML reported revenue — technically “other income,” which was from European Union grants or interest on cash sat on deposit — of just ~$560,000 (a typical McDonald’s restaurant does about 7x as much in a year) in its most recent fiscal year, ended June 30, 2025. Most striking of all, however, is its employee base [emphasis our own]:

“As of June 30, 2025, we had 4 full-time employees with a significant number of personnel engaged on a contractor basis. We believe we have good relations with our employees.”

That is, obviously, an astonishingly low headcount for a billion-dollar company. But what’s more astonishing is that it doesn’t seem to preclude a major deal from happening: Trilogy Metals, which has surged alongside CRML and the rest of the rare earth winners, secured a $35.6 million strategic investment by the US federal government on October 6. Trilogy Metals reported just five full-time employees in its most recent filings.

As my colleague Luke Kawa astutely observed at the end of September: why follow the Fed when you can follow the feds?

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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