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Chip stocks lifted by Arm’s barn-burner revenue projection hike, Meta deal

Chip stocks rose early after chip design firm Arm Holdings announced a massive upgrade to its long-term forecasts for sales at an investor event Tuesday evening, following earlier news that its partnering with Meta to create a new class of data center chips— the company projected the new chip alone will generate $15 billion in annual revenue by 2031.

Nvidia, Intel, Advanced Micro Devices, ON Semiconductor, Microchip Technology, and NXP Semiconductors all got a bump from Arm’s rosy revisions to its outlook.

Why? Basically, the speech that Arm CEO Rene Haas delivered at its Arm Everywhere event in San Francisco supports the idea that “agentic AI is expanding the TAM for server CPUs which should drive server unit growth upside,” as HSBC semiconductor stock analyst Frank Lee put it in a note Wednesday.

In other words, the rise of AI will equate to a permanent step up in chip demand from AI data center servers — also known as an increase in the total addressable market, or TAM. So, you know, higher chip stock prices.

Nvidia, Intel, Advanced Micro Devices, ON Semiconductor, Microchip Technology, and NXP Semiconductors all got a bump from Arm’s rosy revisions to its outlook.

Why? Basically, the speech that Arm CEO Rene Haas delivered at its Arm Everywhere event in San Francisco supports the idea that “agentic AI is expanding the TAM for server CPUs which should drive server unit growth upside,” as HSBC semiconductor stock analyst Frank Lee put it in a note Wednesday.

In other words, the rise of AI will equate to a permanent step up in chip demand from AI data center servers — also known as an increase in the total addressable market, or TAM. So, you know, higher chip stock prices.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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