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Chinese IPOs in the US have been making a comeback... of sorts

Even with ~$6 billion tea giant Chagee now in the mix, the current landscape still seems to be deterring bigger names.

Strange as the timing may seem, given the broader geopolitical picture, many Chinese companies are seeing 2025 as the year to hit the US public market. Last week, tea giant Chagee soared 21% on its Nasdaq debut to hit a $6.2 billion valuation, while a flurry of tech firms are reportedly looking to follow suit, per Bloomberg.

Red wave

Chagee’s $411 million raise last Thursday made it the largest Chinese consumer company listing in the US since 2021, momentarily bucking the drought of big Chinese initial public offerings that had been attributed to deteriorating relations between the two nations. Still, even against the backdrop of President Trump’s ongoing tariffs, postponed IPOs from other companies, and talk of Chinese stocks being delisted from US exchanges, 2025 has largely picked up where last year left off in terms of enticing companies looking to list in the US.

China IPOs chart
Sherwood News

There was once a time when Chinese tech companies deciding to go public in America would shake Wall Street, like e-commerce behemoth Alibaba’s IPO in 2014, which initially raised $21.8 billion and was later valued at $25 billion, making it the largest in history at the time. While a host of companies followed suit, the surge wasn’t to last: after Chinese ride-hailing company DiDi Global decided to go public on the NYSE in 2021 — despite not getting the green light from Beijing regulators — it was forced to delist by the Chinese government, complicating the listing process ever since

The tide has been slowly shifting recently, with Chinese offerings on the US market up almost 47% in 2024 compared to the year before, per data from US-China Economic and Security Review Commission (USCC). However, the precarious regulatory landscape was clearly a hurdle that many bigger companies were wary of even before the latest tariffs, with the 37 offerings in 2024 worth just $1.9 billion, down from $10.7 billion just four years earlier.

Interestingly, there had already been 11 offerings from companies based in Shanghai, Beijing, and beyond by March 7 this year, according to the USCC, as China’s government continues to boost and protect its domestic businesses.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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