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Burlington Stores
Burlington store in Exton, Pennsylvania

Burlington surges after huge Q2 beat and raised outlook as shoppers keep bargain hunting

The off-price chain topped Wall Street’s expectations as deal hunters and brand deals fueled growth.

Burlington Stores shares soared on Thursday morning after the off-price retailer reported second-quarter results that easily beat Wall Street forecasts and raised its full-year guidance.

Adjusted earnings per share came in at $1.59, topping the Street’s estimate of $1.28. Revenue rose 10% to $2.7 billion, ahead of expectations for about $2.6 billion. Same-store sales growth of 5% lapped estimates for an increase of 1.4%.

Looking ahead: Burlington lifted its full-year sales growth outlook to 7% to 8%, up from a prior range of 6% to 8%, and raised adjusted EPS guidance to $9.19 to $9.59, from its previous forecast of $8.70 to $9.30. The midpoint of $9.39 comes in above Wall Street’s $9.24 projection.

On the earnings call, management said faster inventory turns led to fewer markdowns in the quarter, partly tied to new store openings. Executives also flagged tariffs and inflation (especially if it spreads to essentials like groceries) as key risks, adding that the company will have to be cautious about price hikes to stay focused on value. 

“We anticipate that tariffs will put significant pressure on our merchandise margin,” the company said in a statement. “But we are confident that, as long as tariffs do not increase from current levels, we can offset this pressure elsewhere in the P&L.”

Burlington has been beefing up its branded assortment with labels like Nike, Calvin Klein, and Michael Kors, making its racks more competitive with rivals like TJX and Ross. Last week, TJX shares hit an all-time high after the off-price retailer delivered knockout Q2 results and a boost to full-year guidance.

Burlington shares are now positive on the year, up 7% year to date.

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Lululemon’s stretch getting tested: Stock plunges after after outlook is cut

Lululemon shares are down double digits in premarket trading after the company cut its full-year sales and profit outlook, overshadowing a Q1 beat and raising fresh concerns about the brand’s turnaround efforts.

The company now expects fiscal 2026 revenue to be flat to down 1%, compared with its prior forecast for 2% to 4% growth. Guidance for full-year diluted earnings per share was dragged down to a range of $10.95 to $11.15, below the company’s previous guidance of $12.10 to $12.30 and well below Wall Street’s estimate of $13.26.

Key numbers for Q1:

  • EPS of $1.69 vs. the $1.68 expected.

  • Revenue of $2.47 billion vs. the $2.43 billion expected.

The modest top-line beat masked a widening divergence between Lululemons geographic markets. While international revenue rose 22% overall with a 30% increase in Mainland China, the bigger problem remains North America, where revenue fell 5%.

Interim co-CEO and CFO Meghan Frank acknowledged during the earnings call that recent product rollouts underperformed. A highly anticipated yoga campaign failed to generate its expected halo effect across broader product lines.

Profitability metrics took a major hit, with gross margins contracting by 410 basis points to 54.2% due to mounting tariff costs and promotional markdowns. Operating income consequently fell 37% year over year to $276.9 million.

“We experienced spikes of negative commentary in the media and on social channels with regard to our brand, which had an impact on traffic and overall top-line performance,” Frank said during the earnings call. “And second, not all of our product launches have met our expectations. While we have had several successful launches so far this year, we have seen others as we start Q2 not generate the anticipated guest response.”

Lululemons valuation has already been steadily compressing for years. While it was once one of retails richly valued stocks, investors have been questioning whether the company can return to the double-digit growth era.

The results also arrive during a leadership transition. Lululemon announced back in April that former Nike executive Heidi ONeill is set to take over as CEO in September, with investors looking to her to revive growth in North America and restore the brands growth.

As Lululemon faces both macroeconomic pressure and brand-specific challenges, its stock has dropped around 40% year to date.

markets

US job growth skyrocketed in May, blasting past expectations

The US economy added 172,000 jobs in the month of May, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday, sending 10-year Treasury yields higher.

The strong May job market surprised economists. Experts had predicted only 85,000 new jobs — just half the reported number. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, as expected.

The job growth story is a hopeful spot for the economy as consumers continue to feel inflationary pressure from the Iran war.

Job gains were buoyed by the leisure and hospitality sector, which added 70,000 jobs, as well as local government, healthcare, and education.

Both the March and April jobs reports were revised upward, making them collectively 93,000 higher than previously reported.

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