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Brent crude futures break through $126 per barrel as fears of a prolonged supply crunch intensify

Brent crude prices jumped to a four-year high on Thursday after reports that President Trump is set to receive a briefing on potential military action against Iran, raising concerns that oil supply disruptions in the Middle East could extend further.

Citing sources with knowledge, Axios reported late on Wednesday that the US Central Command (CENTCOM) will brief a plan for a “short and powerful” wave of strikes on Iran, in a bid to accelerate negotiations and weaken Iran’s position. A ceasefire has held since early April, but talks to resolve the conflict have been deadlocked in recent days, with Iran’s leadership — a group that seems scattered and fractured — wanting some control over the Strait of Hormuz, as reparations for war damages were also brought up two weeks ago. Yesterday, reports emerged that Trump had rejected Iran’s latest offer, maintaining the naval blockade in the region until an agreement about Iran’s nuclear program is reached.

Brent crude futures jumped more than 7%, briefly touching $126 per barrel before retreating slightly — the highest price since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022. US West Texas Intermediate futures also extended their 7% gain in the previous session, reaching past $108 a barrel.

Trump discussed ways to mitigate the impact of a prolonged blockade on American consumers with oil companies on Tuesday, the White House said.

US equity futures, meanwhile, have broadly shrugged off the news. Contracts on the S&P 500 indicate a broadly unchanged open, as traders digest the bevy of mega tech earnings last night.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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