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BofA: Robinhood could be added to S&P 500

Bloomberg writes that free trading app Robinhood Markets is a “prime candidate” for inclusion in the S&P 500, at least in the eyes of Bank of America analysts covering the shares.

(Sherwood Media is an editorially independent subsidiary of Robinhood Markets Inc.)

Being added to the index — the most widely used US market benchmark — can have a pronounced effect on shares, as it forces index funds to simultaneously buy the stock to ensure their holdings mirror the index.

In 2023, the last year for which S&P data was available, some $10 trillion of index fund assets were benchmarked to the S&P 500.

Perhaps optimism about potential inclusion is part of what’s gotten into the shares recently, as they’re up nearly 50% over the last month and bucked the flat market Wednesday to close at a new record high.

S&P is expected to make an announcement on any changes to the index after the close of trading on Friday.

In 2023, the last year for which S&P data was available, some $10 trillion of index fund assets were benchmarked to the S&P 500.

Perhaps optimism about potential inclusion is part of what’s gotten into the shares recently, as they’re up nearly 50% over the last month and bucked the flat market Wednesday to close at a new record high.

S&P is expected to make an announcement on any changes to the index after the close of trading on Friday.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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