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Bill Ackman
Bill Ackman (Sylvain Gaboury, Patrick McMullan/Getty Images)

Bill Ackman’s pricey IPO plan

Pershing Square’s fundraising efforts need to bear fruit for this valuation to make sense

Jack Raines

Bill Ackman made headlines this morning after The Wall Street Journal reported that he is planning to take his investment fund, Pershing Square, public in late 2025 or early 2026. As a precursor to the planned IPO, Ackman is also selling a stake in the firm to investors in a funding round that will value Pershing Square at approximately $10.5B.

It’s rare for a hedge fund to IPO in the US because the US Investment Company Act of 1940 prevents investing groups from charging retail investors expensive performance fees, such as the “2 and 20” that is common for hedge funds. Hedge funds can, however, charge “qualified purchasers” (generally high-net worth clients or institutions) higher fees, which is why hedge funds are typically private.

However, Bill Ackman isn’t looking to take a “hedge fund” public. To quote the Journal piece (emphasis ours):

Pershing Square has told potential investors to compare it to asset managers like Brookfield Asset Management and Blue Owl Capital rather than hedge funds. Brookfield’s market value is about $15 billion; it has more than $925 billion in assets under management. Blue Owl’s market value is about $28 billion and it manages more than $174 billion.

Basically, Ackman isn’t looking to take a specific investment vehicle public. He wants to IPO the holding company that happens to own several investment vehicles, which… kind of makes sense?

As of their February 2024 annual report, Pershing Square had $18.2B in assets under management (AUM), consisting of the following:

  • $14.6B in a closed-end Europe fund (PSH), which is listed on the Amsterdam and London exchanges

  • $1.6B in an investment vehicle that it used to purchase a stake of United Music Group

  • $2B in traditional hedge funds

Pershing listed its largest fund in the European markets in 2014 to skirt US regulations regarding fees: while they couldn’t charge high performance fees on a publicly traded US-listed fund, they can (and do) charge a 1.5% management fee and a 16% performance fee on their European fund.

The planned IPO would sell stakes in the parent entity controlling the funds, which wouldn’t charge high management fees, rather than a specific investment vehicle. While The Wall Street Journal reported that the $10.5B valuation looks high, (for context, Blue Owl Capital is worth $28B with $174B in AUM), the firm justified its valuation by explaining that it will soon manage much more money. From the Journal piece:

The firm justified its rich valuation to investors by explaining that it expects to manage considerably more money, and eventually earn more in fees, after Pershing Square U.S.A. and other funds launch, people familiar with the matter said.

In February, Ackman announced plans to launch a $10 billion US-based closed-end fund which, importantly, would not charge a performance fee, and just a flat 2% management fee, keeping it within US regulations. 

Additionally, Pershing also received SEC approval to raise a multi-billion dollar “special-purpose acquisition rights company,” or SPARC, to take a private company public, which would further increase its AUM.

Why is Ackman now prioritizing the American market after a decade with most of his firm’s capital in Europe? One reason is that Pershing’s Europe-listed fund is trading at a ~27% discount to its net asset value (NAV), meaning that the price per share of its fund is worth 27% less than the value of its underlying assets. If Pershing’s European fund traded at a premium to its NAV, Pershing could issue new shares and raise money until the price per share matched the underlying assets. With its share price at a discount, however, any capital raise in Europe would be below the fund’s intrinsic value.

While Pershing’s $10 billion valuation feels high for the firm right now, that number could look more reasonable in the future depending on the company’s ability to raise funds for its new US closed-end fund, its SPARC, and any other ventures that Ackman may have up his sleeve.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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