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Big bank shares buckle as recession fears spark a sector sell-off

The financials sector has now lost all of its gains for the year.

Nia Warfield

Big banks tumbled alongside the broader market late Monday afternoon. Shares of Morgan Stanley led the decline, sinking 6.4%, while Wells Fargo, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, and Bank of America also dropped.

The sell-off follows President Trump’s latest comments to Fox News, describing the US economy as being in a “period of transition” and sparking fresh uncertainty over tariff policies and recession fears. The XLF SPDR Financial ETF, which tracks the sector, has wiped out all of its gains for the year and is now down slightly.

Financials had a solid 2024, but they’ve been hit hard of late. Last week, the sector endured one of its worst sessions since the SVB banking crisis in March 2023. Meanwhile, February’s jobs report came in below expectations, with only 151,000 nonfarm payrolls added — 9,000 less than expected. Banks are cyclical, so any sign of economic weakness can raise red flags for investors, since it can lead to higher loan losses and a slowdown in lending if consumer spending and business growth stalls.

In January, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon noted that rising unemployment remains a key vulnerability, warning that higher joblessness, combined with inflation, could drive significant credit losses across both the consumer and corporate sides. Last week, Goldman Sachs slashed its 2025 growth forecast, cutting it from 2.4% to 1.7%, citing tariff concerns and a stubbornly tight labor market.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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