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KARPE DIEM

Amazon employs 395 people for every 1 Palantir worker — guess which stock gets traded more?

Nearly $14 billion worth of Palantir shares have changed hands every day over the last five sessions, more than all but the largest stocks in American markets.

David Crowther

On Monday, Palantir closed at a record high. On Tuesday, it did it again.

The packaged software company deep in the defense scene, helmed by its talismanic, jargon-loving, hyperbolic CEO, who once said “Palantir is here to disrupt and make our — the institutions we partner with the very best in the world and, when it’s necessary, to scare enemies and on occasion, kill them,” has attracted a loyal army of retail investors the likes of which we’ve seen maybe only a handful of times before in Tesla and GameStop.

But, while the company’s valuation continues to fly in the face of every corporate finance textbook you’ve ever pretended to read, with PLTR consistently on a three-digit price-to-earnings ratio, what is arguably more remarkable is the sheer volume that is changing hands in the stock every day.

Data from FactSet reveals that over the last five trading sessions, $13.7 billion worth of Palantir’s stock has been traded on average every day — more than companies with economic footprints that are orders of magnitude larger than its own.

Amazon Vs. Palantir Trading Volumes
Sherwood News

Amazon, for example, reported that it employed some 1.556 million people at the end of last year. Palantir’s roster was closer to a very large high school, at just 3,936, meaning that the e-commerce giant employs 395x as many people as Palantir, but its shares are less liquid. Tech juggernaut Apple has seen only $10 billion worth of trading activity in its shares in the last five days, 27% less than Palantir.

It’s not normal that the securities underlying those businesses are trading even remotely equivalent volumes — typically, of course, there’s a correlation between a company’s market value and how much its shares trade at.

Walmart, Apple, Nike, McDonald’s — Palantir is seeing more action than all of them. So meteoric has the run-up in Palantir’s shares been that, as Sherwood News’ Matt Phillips pointed out earlier, Wall Street analysts are even beginning to wonder if companies like Tesla should look at emulating parts of Palantir’s product portfolio.

Only Tesla and Nvidia have traded more than Palantir in the last five sessions.

So, relative to its size, is Palantir’s stock turned over more than any other in the S&P 500?

Interestingly, no. That honor falls to another volatile AI darling, Super Micro Computer, which has turned over 5.4% of its market cap in the last five sessions, slightly ahead of Palantir’s 4.5%. The median for the index is just 0.8%.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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