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The nuclear-powered AI trade is just on fire

Know what the market loves better than AI? Nuclear-powered AI.

So-called merchant power providers — power producers who create energy and sell it at wholesale market prices at rather than at regulated utility rates — are having a heck of a year in the stock market.

Faring especially well are such power-providers with nuclear assets that appear well positioned to cut deals with the giant tech firms who are rushing to building out power-hungry data centers. We’ve previously spotlighted the run-up in share prices of Constellation Energy and NRG.

But check out the surge in Vistra Corp. It’s now the second biggest riser in the S&P 500 this year, with its gain of roughly 150% putting it right behind market darling SuperMicro Computer.

It got a sharp boost this month even after missing the bottomline on quarterly earnings, as it talked about about the emerging opportunity related to deals that would connect some of its newly purchased nuclear power plants with demand emanating from the AI frenzy.

“We actually have partners, potential partners coming to us directly,” Vistra CEO James A. Burke told analysts. “And speed is really very important to them.”

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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