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Nvidia
Nvidia market cap per employee (Sherwood News)

After topping the $4 trillion market cap milestone, Nvidia’s valuation per employee is reaching new heights

Nvidia: an economic machine that combines scientific ingenuity, capital, and a small town’s worth of people into an asset worth $4 trillion.

According to my ChatGPT query, which poetically was probably only made possible by an Nvidia GPU, there are a few American towns with a population of about 36,000: Westerville, Ohio, and Haverhill, Massachusetts, were two of the options given to me.

If you’re unfamiliar with those places, that’s no surprise. They aren’t very big in the grand scheme of America. And yet, those towns each represent approximately the entire workforce of the world’s most valuable company, which this week passed the $4 trillion market cap milestone, becoming the first public company ever to do so.

As I’ve written before, Nvidia’s execution has been nothing short of remarkable. Very, very few companies get to put up the kind of revenue growth numbers that Jensen Huang’s company has printed. Even fewer make huge margins while growing that fast. None have done it on this scale, or with just 36,000 employees as of the latest count.

Indeed, compared to the rest of its Big Tech peers, Nvidia’s revenue and net profit per employee are in a league of their own. Now, with its valuation at $4 trillion, the market is ascribing more than $111 million of equity value per employee to Nvidia. That’s even more than the frothy value ascribed to Palantir’s tiny workforce of 4,000 people.

Nvidia
Nvidia market cap per employee (Sherwood News)

Obviously, the ratio of market cap to employees should never be the first port of call for equity analysts trying to value a company. Price-to-earnings multiples, discounted cash flow analysis, EV-to-EBITDA multiples — or even just a vibe check — are arguably better places to start if you’re looking for predictive power. But for a 30,000-foot zoomed out view, it’s a good place to measure a fundamental goal of capitalism: turn employed people into valuable equity.

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United beats Q1 earnings and revenue estimates, lowers full-year profit guidance amid surging jet fuel prices

United Airlines reported its first-quarter earnings results after the bell on Tuesday. The carrier’s shares ticked down in after-hours trading.

For Q1, United reported:

  • Adjusted earnings of $1.19 per share, compared to the Wall Street estimate of $1.08 per share compiled by FactSet.

  • $14.6 billion in revenue, compared to the $14.39 billion consensus estimate.

In the first quarter, United’s fuel expense grew 12.6% from the same period last year to $3.04 billion.

For the second quarter, United expects adjusted earnings per share of between $1 and $2, shy of Wall Street expectations of $2.08. For the full year ahead, United said it expects earnings between $7 and $11 per share, compared to its prior guidance of between $12 and $14 per share.

“Guidance assumes United’s revenue recovers 40% to 50% of the fuel price increases in the second quarter, 70% to 80% of the fuel price increases in the third quarter and 85% to 100% of the fuel price increases in the fourth quarter 2026,” read the company’s investor update.

Earlier this month, United was among the first major US airlines to hike its bag fees amid higher fuel costs. Its shares have fallen more than 15% from a February high days before the war in Iran began.

United has also made waves this month following reports that CEO Scott Kirby had floated the idea of a merger with American Airlines to President Trump. A merger between two of the big four airlines would create a true US behemoth, controlling more than a third of the American market. American Air last week said it wasn’t interested in merging with United and hadn’t held talks on the idea. On Tuesday, Trump told CNBC that he doesn’t like the idea either.

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Hedge funds are following retail traders into the Magnificent 7

Hedge funds are following retail traders into the stocks the masses never stopped buying.

“As we kick off earnings for megacap tech stocks, this stood out: [hedge funds] have started buying Mag7 stocks again this month though positioning remains well below the peak levels seen in early 2016,” wrote Goldman Sachs’ Cullen Morgan.

Goldman PB Mag 7
Source: Goldman Sachs

In early April, JPMorgan strategist Arun Jain noted that retail investors had basically been selling everything but the Magnificent 7 stocks as part of a more cautious stance due to the Iran war.

(Apple has been a long-standing exception to this trend, presumably because retail traders arent fond of its hands-off approach to AI.)

JPM Retail flows

Last August, Jain discussed how retail activity tended to “crowd in” institutional buyers in meme stocks, while Goldman’s John Marshall advised clients to piggyback on stocks beloved by retail traders. Speculative, retail-geared assets proceeded to go on a tremendous run that soured in October.

But there are some early indications that a similar bout of speculative fervor is bubbling up once more.

markets

POET Technologies surges above $10 for first time in 4 years amid explosion in call volumes

POET Technologies is up nearly 40% this week as options market activity goes haywire in a faint echo of what got the stock on retail traders’ radars in October.

As of 11:12 a.m. ET, more than 10 calls have changed hands for every put traded. This bullish impulse has propelled the stock above the $10 threshold for the first time since March 2022.

Shares of the optical communications firm briefly dipped last week after Wolfpack Research said it was short the company because its investors would be exposed to an “IRS tax nightmare.”

The company responded that day saying it was taking measures for US shareholders that “should mitigate certain potential adverse US federal income tax consequences to it that could otherwise result from the Company’s status as a passive foreign investment company.”

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