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Luke Kawa

Will Corporate America’s AI adoption justify the massive capital spending?

We don’t seem to live in a world where AI capex for capex’s sake is rewarded by investors anymore. Investors likely need to see increasing downstream adoption — that is, AI being used more and more in the field.

One problem with this is that surveys on Corporate America’s utilization of AI are all over the map; I’ve seen some in the low double digits and others in the neighborhood of 60% or more.

AI capex is both offensive — a bid to create new revenue streams and enable products that don’t exist — but also defensive, made by tech behemoths trying to ensure their existing dominant positions don’t get swept away by the tide of this new technology.

In many cases, Fortune 500 companies that want to implement — or, at least, dip their toe in the AI waters — don’t have a preestablished strategy or plan of action to do so. They need outside help for that.

Some good proxies for Corporate America’s willingness to spend on AI, therefore, can be found through consulting giant Accenture’s new bookings as well as IBM’s generative-AI book of business.

Accenture is in the business of helping companies “reinvent” themselves, a process that the consulting giant itself has had to undergo in light of how the industry has been rattled by the emergence of AI. And to do that, it’s turned to… AI, overhauling its work force, striking partnerships with OpenAI, Anthropic, Snowflake, and Palantir, and also buying a majority stake in DLB Associates, an AI data center engineering and consulting firm.

“We are expanding in these partnerships because of what we see in client demand,” CEO Julie Sweet said during Accenture’s December 18 earnings call. “We really try to be number one with all of the partners so that we can help our clients integrate and use these new technologies with their existing ecosystem, which is absolutely critical to them.”

Annoyingly, Accenture has decided that it won’t be breaking out AI-specific financial performance going forward, but that’s also a signal of how much management thinks this is integral to its overall growth.

And for IBM, AI-related consulting feeds through to other parts of its business, as its AI book of business also includes associated software revenues.

“Definitely the AI piece is a strong contributor to the software growth and I believe it’s a big piece of why consulting is beginning to return to growth, because we called the play to move toward AI almost two years ago,” IBM CEO Arvind Krishna said on the company’s most recent earnings call.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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