Crypto
Bitcoin future
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The crypto world is starting to look like just bitcoin again

Now dominating 63% of the total crypto market value, BTC keeps breaking new records.

Claire Yubin Oh

Looks like 2025 is shaping up to be a big year for crypto... or at least for one particular coin.

Bitcoin briefly flew past $123,000 on Monday morning, the first day of the House’s “Crypto Week,” which (despite some disappointments) saw landmark legislation to regulate stablecoins passed by Congress, helping to boost the value of the entire crypto market beyond the $4 trillion mark on Friday. Through the week, the world’s biggest cryptocurrency did cool off a little, with a handful of meme coins and altcoins starting to steal the show.

However, zooming out beyond the recent altcoin gains reveals that the crypto landscape is still very much dominated by bitcoin, which takes up a whopping 63% of the total crypto market’s value.

Bitcoin's dominance chart
Sherwood News

Can’t stop, won’t stop 

The last time bitcoin enjoyed a similar level of dominance was from 2018 to 2020 following the collapse of the Initial Coin Offering boom in 2017 that made investors abandon many altcoin projects. Companies like Tesla and PayPal had also just started to accept bitcoin as a form of payment, lending an increasing sense of legitimacy to the asset.

Just as new demand stemmed from bitcoin’s growing image as a safe haven, supply was also being squeezed by many long-term investors HODLing (translation: holding) on to their coins, expecting gains after a “halving” event in mid-2020.

But a lot has changed since then, and more commentators are looking away from retail bitcoin traders to explain BTC’s latest surge.

Stable(r) coin

As bitcoin’s price fluctuates less wildly and it begins to look a little more like big name securities such as the Magnificent 7, institutional investors have piled in. Bitcoin treasury companies like Michael Saylor’s Strategy, for instance, now hold $73 billion worth of bitcoin, while spot bitcoin ETFs have brought in some $50 billion since 2024, per Deutsche Bank analysis

All told, institutions now control nearly one-third of all bitcoin in circulation.

Indeed, as fund managers move toward risky assets more broadly, with investors’ three-month risk appetite at its highest levels since since 2001, bitcoin appears to be hitting a bit of a sweet spot for today’s risk-on institutions — a high-beta asset that is nevertheless still perceived as a safe haven.

BofA chart risk appetite
Bank of America Global Research

Main character energy

The rising tide is not lifting all boats in the crypto world, however. A Coinbase-EY Parthenon survey of institutional investors reveals that this new institutional demand is only really filtering through to bitcoin and ethereum, with an overwhelming majority of the surveyed interviewees’ firms holding the two biggest cryptocurrencies (97% and 86%, respectively). Even when they are interested in other currencies, more than half of respondents held only one or two coins in addition to BTC and ETH.

Institutional investors survey chart
Sherwood News

Ethereum, which took advantage of some institutional attention from record spot ETF inflows and companies experimenting with an ethereum-based treasury to rise more than 20% in the last five days, might need even more — the asset is still about 25% below its all-time high from 2021.

Magic internet institutional money

Around 2010, when 10,000 BTC were used to buy two pizzas, the cryptocurrency was mostly seen as an alternate means of investment for critics of the centralized financial system, which was dominated by banks, traditional currencies, and huge corporations.

Now, 15 years and a lifetime’s worth of bitcoin gains later, it seems like the institutions could be starting to shape the crypto’s dominance more than the original HODLers.

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Crypto market snaps back as sentiment lifts, with altcoins from ethereum to XRP soaring

The market capitalization of the crypto industry has jumped around $83.2 billion in the last 24 hours, with privacy-focused token Zcash and worldcoin, the native cryptocurrency of the network backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, leading market gains, jumping over 22%.

But the last 24 hours have been good across the board:

Investors have been eager to see some positive signs around the Iranian conflict ending, coupled with hopeful outlooks around the CLARITY act, both breathing some life into assets, Kairos Research cofounder Ian Unsworth told Sherwood News.

Simon Shockey, a crypto strategist at crypto wallet infrastructure firm Privy, said the upswing stems from several things converging. He pointed to how alt markets broadly were very oversold following the bug found in Zcash that shook confidence.

Friday, Zcash founder Zooko Wilcox said Anthropic didn’t find any more serious bugs with the Zcash protocol after Shielded Labs requested the AI firm run a security audit of the network with Mythos.

Shockey added that the pool of willing sellers has dwindled. Even if structurally, AI is a much more compelling and asymmetric bet in the eyes of allocators, many of these crypto assets have simply run out of marginal sellers despite some shorter-term narrative-driven pumps. The only people left to sell at this point are the teams themselves and VCs.

Net-net: oversold conditions plus exhausted seller bases plus a macro backdrop thats stabilized equals a snapback, especially in names that have real usage or community conviction behind them,” Shockey told Sherwood.

$389M

US Attorney David Metcalf announced Thursday the arrests of Ruslan Igorevich Tkachuk and Alexander Vladimirovich Ledenev, alleged senior members of AudiA6, a cryptocurrency money-laundering service believed to be responsible for laundering over $389 million.

The arrests coincided with a coordinated international takedown of AudiA6 and its infrastructure, involving the search of three properties, the seizure of servers and domains connected to the organization, as well as freezing cryptocurrency assets, according to a Department of Justice press release.

Tkachuk and Ledenev were “charged by criminal complaint with one count of conspiracy to launder monetary instruments and one count of sting money laundering,” the DOJ said. If convicted, they face a maximum possible sentence of 20 years of incarceration.

Per the criminal complaint, AudiA6 offered services to conceal the origin of cryptocurrency linked to criminal activity, charging fees of up to 5% of the amount laundered.

The two defendants are in custody of Republic of Georgia authorities, and the US Attorney’s Office aims to seek their extradition to the Eastern District of Pennsylvania.

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