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Solana ETFs listings delayed as JPMorgan predicts the funds to net $1.5 billion in first year

JPMorgan analysts noted that “solana is not perceived by investors the same way as ethereum as the main DeFi/smart contract cryptocurrency.”

Solana ETFs have been delayed by the shutdown, but hopes are high they’ll hit the market shortly.

Despite the anticipation, JPMorgan analysts say inflows will be much more modest than those of bitcoin or ethereum ETFs, and anticipate $1.5 billion in inflows in their first year. To put this in context, bitcoin ETFs, which are just under 2 years old, amassed more than $2 billion in inflows in just two days this week.

JPMorgan analysts said that several drivers could lead to these lower inflows, including that “solana is not perceived by investors the same way as ethereum as the main DeFi/smart contract cryptocurrency,” as well as “investor fatigue with multiple crypto spot ETFs being launched.”

“The launch of ETFs that track more diversified crypto indexes composed of multiple crypto assets, poses additional competition,” they said, adding that “corporate treasuries could be diverting demand away from spot ETFs.”

Grayscale, VanEck, 21Shares, Canary, Bitwise, and Fidelity are among the firms with solana ETFs in the pipeline, for which the SEC has an October 10 deadline for approval. Grayscale amended its ETF filing on Thursday, setting the fund’s fee at a hefty 0.35%. In comparison, Bitwise, which also recently amended its filing, has a 0.20% fee and added “staking” to the fund’s name. Rex-Osprey launched a solana ETF in July, but registered under the Investment Company Act of 1940, “which is different from other spot ETFs filings that are being registered under the Securities Act of 1933/34,” per JPMorgan.

Solana, the sixth-largest crypto by market cap, has been struggling this week, just like the overall crypto market. The token was trending up on Friday morning, however, and is up 58.7% in the past year.

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Crypto market snaps back as sentiment lifts, with altcoins from ethereum to XRP soaring

The market capitalization of the crypto industry has jumped around $83.2 billion in the last 24 hours, with privacy-focused token Zcash and worldcoin, the native cryptocurrency of the network backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, leading market gains, jumping over 22%.

But the last 24 hours have been good across the board:

Investors have been eager to see some positive signs around the Iranian conflict ending, coupled with hopeful outlooks around the CLARITY act, both breathing some life into assets, Kairos Research cofounder Ian Unsworth told Sherwood News.

Simon Shockey, a crypto strategist at crypto wallet infrastructure firm Privy, said the upswing stems from several things converging. He pointed to how alt markets broadly were very oversold following the bug found in Zcash that shook confidence.

Friday, Zcash founder Zooko Wilcox said Anthropic didn’t find any more serious bugs with the Zcash protocol after Shielded Labs requested the AI firm run a security audit of the network with Mythos.

Shockey added that the pool of willing sellers has dwindled. Even if structurally, AI is a much more compelling and asymmetric bet in the eyes of allocators, many of these crypto assets have simply run out of marginal sellers despite some shorter-term narrative-driven pumps. The only people left to sell at this point are the teams themselves and VCs.

Net-net: oversold conditions plus exhausted seller bases plus a macro backdrop thats stabilized equals a snapback, especially in names that have real usage or community conviction behind them,” Shockey told Sherwood.

$389M

US Attorney David Metcalf announced Thursday the arrests of Ruslan Igorevich Tkachuk and Alexander Vladimirovich Ledenev, alleged senior members of AudiA6, a cryptocurrency money-laundering service believed to be responsible for laundering over $389 million.

The arrests coincided with a coordinated international takedown of AudiA6 and its infrastructure, involving the search of three properties, the seizure of servers and domains connected to the organization, as well as freezing cryptocurrency assets, according to a Department of Justice press release.

Tkachuk and Ledenev were “charged by criminal complaint with one count of conspiracy to launder monetary instruments and one count of sting money laundering,” the DOJ said. If convicted, they face a maximum possible sentence of 20 years of incarceration.

Per the criminal complaint, AudiA6 offered services to conceal the origin of cryptocurrency linked to criminal activity, charging fees of up to 5% of the amount laundered.

The two defendants are in custody of Republic of Georgia authorities, and the US Attorney’s Office aims to seek their extradition to the Eastern District of Pennsylvania.

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