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Ethereum hits three-month low as price decline outpaces crypto peers

Spot ethereum ETFs also a fifth straight day of outflows, with roughly $219 million leaving the investment funds on Tuesday.

The price of ethereum dropped to a three-month low on Tuesday, slipping as low as $3,097, though it has recovered Wednesday. Still, its drop over the past 24 hours was the worst among the top 50 tokens by market capitalization, data pulled from CoinGecko shows.

The price action comes as spot ethereum ETFs recorded five straight days of outflows, with $219.4 million leaving the investment funds Tuesday. The ongoing streak’s total outflow now stands at $719 million, per SoSoValue.

Ethereum’s decline comes as several major treasury firms have an outstanding mNAV under 1. The metric, defined as a company’s market cap divided by the value of its crypto asset holdings, matters because it shows how much a company is worth in the public market relative to the worth of its ethereum assets, per Tony Lau, an investment partner at Primitive Ventures.

BitMine Immersion Technologies and SharpLink Gaming, the two largest ethereum treasury firms, have an mNAV of 0.93 and 0.85, respectively. The mNAVs of Fg Nexus Inc., ETHZilla, and Blockchain Technology Consensus Solutions, which have combined holdings of $727 million ethereum tokens, range 0.6 to 0.77, according to Blockworks Research.

“When mNAV>1, the company is worth more than the ethereum they are holding and hence they can do ATM (stock issuance at the market price) to buy ethereum to make the shareholder accretive on a ETH per share basis,” Lau told Sherwood News.

On the other hand, when the metric dips under 1, a firm is worth less than its ethereum holdings, losing its capacity to issue shares and buy ethereum because it doesn’t make economic sense for the company’s shareholders, Lau continued.

Ethereum was fundamentally the same when it was trading at the $2,000 level, but “now we do not have mNAV premiums anymore, treasury companies are not able to capture those premiums by doing ATM to accumulate ETH,” Lau wrote. “Moreover we are seeing treasury companies like ETHZilla selling their ETH holdings when mNAV is below 1, adding more selling pressure to Ethereum.”

Last week, ETHZilla announced it sold $40 million of its ethereum treasury to facilitate stock repurchases and has plans to continue offloading the token “until the discount to NAV is normalized,” its press release stated.

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Hyperliquid reclaims all-time high

HYPE, the native token powering perpetuals exchange Hyperliquid and its underlying blockchain, rebounded to reclaim its all-time high previously set at the start of the month.

Treasury firms Hyperliquid Strategies and Hyperion DeFi have also rallied as the token increased double digits in the last 24 hours to trade as high as $76.70, rising past its record price set nearly two weeks ago, according to CoinGecko. In the interim between all-time highs, HYPE pulled back to around $53.

The token has several tailwinds, the first coming from ETF flows. Since their inception in May, HYPE ETFs have yet to record negative weekly outflows, posting a cumulative total net inflow of $171.8 million, per SoSoValue.

The second comes from Hyperliquid spending basically everything it earns in fees to buy HYPE, a mechanism embedded into the protocol’s codebase.

The venue’s buyback funding mechanism is set to add a new source of yield. Validators of the network activated “AQAv2,” which means stablecoin deployers will share about 90% of reserve yield revenue on their supply within the protocol.

Around $6.1 billion of Circle’s USDC resides in Hyperliquid, per DefiLlama. Accrual begins on August 26 and the first payment is made on October 3, the network announced in its Discord channel last week.

A substantial amount of capital is riding on different positions of HYPE. In total, a move down to under $53 would result in the liquidation nearly 1.8 million HYPE worth of leveraged long positions on the on-chain perps venue, or $131.7 million, data from CoinGlass shows. For the upside, a climb above $100 results in the liquidation of more than 3 million worth of leveraged HYPE short positions, or $221.5 million.

HYPE’s rebound to all-time high comes after Michael Selig, chair of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, defended his agency’s decision to approve regulated perpetuals, or futures contracts without expiration dates, CNBC reported on Monday.

Last month, the CFTC approved bitcoin perpetual futures trading in the US through regulated prediction markets firm Kalshi and an affiliate of centralized exchange Coinbase.

“Perps are highly likely to become lightly regulated and thus approved in the US,” said David Pakman, head of venture investments at CoinFund.

“We expect to see perps for many different types of assets, from commodities to equities,” Pakman told Sherwood News.

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Crypto market snaps back as sentiment lifts, with altcoins from ethereum to XRP soaring

The market capitalization of the crypto industry has jumped around $83.2 billion in the last 24 hours, with privacy-focused token Zcash and worldcoin, the native cryptocurrency of the network backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, leading market gains, jumping over 22%.

But the last 24 hours have been good across the board:

Investors have been eager to see some positive signs around the Iranian conflict ending, coupled with hopeful outlooks around the CLARITY act, both breathing some life into assets, Kairos Research cofounder Ian Unsworth told Sherwood News.

Simon Shockey, a crypto strategist at crypto wallet infrastructure firm Privy, said the upswing stems from several things converging. He pointed to how alt markets broadly were very oversold following the bug found in Zcash that shook confidence.

Friday, Zcash founder Zooko Wilcox said Anthropic didn’t find any more serious bugs with the Zcash protocol after Shielded Labs requested the AI firm run a security audit of the network with Mythos.

Shockey added that the pool of willing sellers has dwindled. Even if structurally, AI is a much more compelling and asymmetric bet in the eyes of allocators, many of these crypto assets have simply run out of marginal sellers despite some shorter-term narrative-driven pumps. The only people left to sell at this point are the teams themselves and VCs.

Net-net: oversold conditions plus exhausted seller bases plus a macro backdrop thats stabilized equals a snapback, especially in names that have real usage or community conviction behind them,” Shockey told Sherwood.

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