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Ethereum ETFs in US on track for highest monthly outflow, while nascent solana ETFs only have inflows

Despite the outflows for ethereum and inflows for solana, both cryptocurrencies are down in November.

Sage D. Young

Ethereum and solana have dropped 20% and 25%, respectively, in November, putting both at lows not seen since at least July. But their spot ETFs tell a different story: one marked by substantial outflows and the other with a completely positive streak.

Spot ethereum ETFs recorded their third-highest weekly outflow last week since their inception, at $728.6 million, making November the investment funds’ worst month so far, with over $1.2 billion in outflows, per SoSoValue.

In contrast, solana’s spot ETFs have notched 14 days of consecutive inflows since Bitwise and Grayscale debuted the funds in late October, for a total of $382 million. This is a substantial difference than ethereum ETFs’ debut, which saw $405.9 million in outflows in their first 14 days. 

“SOL ETFs are far less significant than ETH ETFs, simply because, on a market-cap-weighted basis, they represent a much smaller portion of the total supply,” according to Simon Dedic, CEO and partner at crypto-native investment firm Moonrock Capital.

Spot ethereum ETFs hold nearly 6.4 million ethereum tokens worth $20.1 billion, or 5.3% of the supply, while solana ETFs have 0.6% of the token’s supply.

“Since the SOL ETFs just launched, I wouldn’t expect their flows to behave like ETH ETF flows, which have already stabilized after their early AUM growth phase,” Dedic told Sherwood News. 

Tom Lee, the chairman of the largest ethereum treasury firm, BitMine Immersion Technologies, said in a Monday press release:

“Crypto prices have not recovered since the liquidation event on Oct 10th. And the lingering weakness has the hallmarks of a market maker (or two) suffering from a crippled balance sheet.

When a market maker has a ‘hole’ on their balance sheet, they are seeking to raise capital and are reducing their liquidity functions in the market. This is the equivalent of QT (quantitative tightening) for crypto and has the effect of dampening prices.”

Lee argued that crypto prices have not peaked and predicted a cycle top will likely come in 12 to 36 months.

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Hyperliquid reclaims all-time high

HYPE, the native token powering perpetuals exchange Hyperliquid and its underlying blockchain, rebounded to reclaim its all-time high previously set at the start of the month.

Treasury firms Hyperliquid Strategies and Hyperion DeFi have also rallied as the token increased double digits in the last 24 hours to trade as high as $76.70, rising past its record price set nearly two weeks ago, according to CoinGecko. In the interim between all-time highs, HYPE pulled back to around $53.

The token has several tailwinds, the first coming from ETF flows. Since their inception in May, HYPE ETFs have yet to record negative weekly outflows, posting a cumulative total net inflow of $171.8 million, per SoSoValue.

The second comes from Hyperliquid spending basically everything it earns in fees to buy HYPE, a mechanism embedded into the protocol’s codebase.

The venue’s buyback funding mechanism is set to add a new source of yield. Validators of the network activated “AQAv2,” which means stablecoin deployers will share about 90% of reserve yield revenue on their supply within the protocol.

Around $6.1 billion of Circle’s USDC resides in Hyperliquid, per DefiLlama. Accrual begins on August 26 and the first payment is made on October 3, the network announced in its Discord channel last week.

A substantial amount of capital is riding on different positions of HYPE. In total, a move down to under $53 would result in the liquidation nearly 1.8 million HYPE worth of leveraged long positions on the on-chain perps venue, or $131.7 million, data from CoinGlass shows. For the upside, a climb above $100 results in the liquidation of more than 3 million worth of leveraged HYPE short positions, or $221.5 million.

HYPE’s rebound to all-time high comes after Michael Selig, chair of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, defended his agency’s decision to approve regulated perpetuals, or futures contracts without expiration dates, CNBC reported on Monday.

Last month, the CFTC approved bitcoin perpetual futures trading in the US through regulated prediction markets firm Kalshi and an affiliate of centralized exchange Coinbase.

“Perps are highly likely to become lightly regulated and thus approved in the US,” said David Pakman, head of venture investments at CoinFund.

“We expect to see perps for many different types of assets, from commodities to equities,” Pakman told Sherwood News.

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Crypto market snaps back as sentiment lifts, with altcoins from ethereum to XRP soaring

The market capitalization of the crypto industry has jumped around $83.2 billion in the last 24 hours, with privacy-focused token Zcash and worldcoin, the native cryptocurrency of the network backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, leading market gains, jumping over 22%.

But the last 24 hours have been good across the board:

Investors have been eager to see some positive signs around the Iranian conflict ending, coupled with hopeful outlooks around the CLARITY act, both breathing some life into assets, Kairos Research cofounder Ian Unsworth told Sherwood News.

Simon Shockey, a crypto strategist at crypto wallet infrastructure firm Privy, said the upswing stems from several things converging. He pointed to how alt markets broadly were very oversold following the bug found in Zcash that shook confidence.

Friday, Zcash founder Zooko Wilcox said Anthropic didn’t find any more serious bugs with the Zcash protocol after Shielded Labs requested the AI firm run a security audit of the network with Mythos.

Shockey added that the pool of willing sellers has dwindled. Even if structurally, AI is a much more compelling and asymmetric bet in the eyes of allocators, many of these crypto assets have simply run out of marginal sellers despite some shorter-term narrative-driven pumps. The only people left to sell at this point are the teams themselves and VCs.

Net-net: oversold conditions plus exhausted seller bases plus a macro backdrop thats stabilized equals a snapback, especially in names that have real usage or community conviction behind them,” Shockey told Sherwood.

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