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Doge is pumping, but doge ETFs are flopping

“It’s the people’s coin, built on memes, community energy, and viral moments. The fact that it can pump 21% in a week without a single dollar of ETF inflows shows the community still has pricing power independent of Wall Street.”

Dogecoin, the meme coin that started as a joke and the 10th-largest crypto by market cap, is on a winning streak, up 24% in the past week. In comparison, the two largest coins, bitcoin and Ethereum, are up 4% and 6%, respectively, over the same period.

It’s a bleaker story for spot dogecoin ETFs, however: Grayscale’s GDOG, which started trading on the NYSE on November 24, and Bitwise’s BWOW, debuting on the Nasdaq on November 26, registered zero inflows on Tuesday, SoSoValue data shows. Together, the two funds have registered a relatively paltry $3.9 million so far in January.  

Meanwhile, Rex-Osprey’s DOJE ETF, with $24 million in assets under management and the first of its kind to hit the market, also had zero inflows on Tuesday, according to Greg King, CEO of Rex Financial.

As for 21Shares’ leveraged 2x Long Dogecoin ETF, launched on November 20, it also registered zero inflows on Tuesday, data from The Block shows.

Rex’s King told Sherwood News that on Tuesday, DOJE traded about 250,000 shares, versus an average volume of 59,000.

“Creations,” meaning buying the underlying security and wrapping them in an ETF, “often don’t tie immediately to increased volume, but increased volume on a 21% up day for DOGE indicates an increase in demand for DOJE,” he said.

Yet demand for dogecoin ETFs has been tepid so far, particularly compared to other altcoin ETFs:

  • XRP ETFs have recorded $78.8 million in inflows so far this month and have yet to see a single day of outflows. XRP, Ripple’s native token, is up 19% in the past week.

  • solana ETFs have seen $35.1 million in inflows in January, while the token is up roughly 9% in the last seven days.

Nic Puckrin, cofounder of Coin Bureau, told Sherwood that while there haven’t been ETF flows into doge over the last few days, that doesn’t mean people aren’t trading doge.

Puckrin attributes the price/inflows discrepancy to the difference in the retail and institutional crowds.

“ETF flows, meanwhile, often reflect more sticky or institutional capital, suggesting the price surge may have been driven more by speculative retail interest,” he said.

Unlike their bitcoin and ethereum counterparts, which have become highly institutionalized thanks to backing from large financial institutions and ETF launches, doge is a different beast. 

Alan Orwick, CEO of Dominant Strategies, deemed doge ETFs “a flop” since their inception, due to doge being a community-driven asset with key figures like Elon Musk keeping the narrative alive.

Orwick added that the lack of institutional interest is a feature rather than a bug, as the token was never meant to be a suit-and-tie institutional play.

“It’s the people’s coin, built on memes, community energy, and viral moments. The fact that it can pump 21% in a week without a single dollar of ETF inflows shows the community still has pricing power independent of Wall Street,” he said.

That grassroots dynamic is what made doge culturally relevant and what separates it from tokens chasing institutional validation, he said.

“As long as the community stays engaged and the memes keep flowing, doge doesn’t need BlackRock’s blessing to move,” Orwick said. 

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Crypto market snaps back as sentiment lifts, with altcoins from ethereum to XRP soaring

The market capitalization of the crypto industry has jumped around $83.2 billion in the last 24 hours, with privacy-focused token Zcash and worldcoin, the native cryptocurrency of the network backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, leading market gains, jumping over 22%.

But the last 24 hours have been good across the board:

Investors have been eager to see some positive signs around the Iranian conflict ending, coupled with hopeful outlooks around the CLARITY act, both breathing some life into assets, Kairos Research cofounder Ian Unsworth told Sherwood News.

Simon Shockey, a crypto strategist at crypto wallet infrastructure firm Privy, said the upswing stems from several things converging. He pointed to how alt markets broadly were very oversold following the bug found in Zcash that shook confidence.

Friday, Zcash founder Zooko Wilcox said Anthropic didn’t find any more serious bugs with the Zcash protocol after Shielded Labs requested the AI firm run a security audit of the network with Mythos.

Shockey added that the pool of willing sellers has dwindled. Even if structurally, AI is a much more compelling and asymmetric bet in the eyes of allocators, many of these crypto assets have simply run out of marginal sellers despite some shorter-term narrative-driven pumps. The only people left to sell at this point are the teams themselves and VCs.

Net-net: oversold conditions plus exhausted seller bases plus a macro backdrop thats stabilized equals a snapback, especially in names that have real usage or community conviction behind them,” Shockey told Sherwood.

$389M

US Attorney David Metcalf announced Thursday the arrests of Ruslan Igorevich Tkachuk and Alexander Vladimirovich Ledenev, alleged senior members of AudiA6, a cryptocurrency money-laundering service believed to be responsible for laundering over $389 million.

The arrests coincided with a coordinated international takedown of AudiA6 and its infrastructure, involving the search of three properties, the seizure of servers and domains connected to the organization, as well as freezing cryptocurrency assets, according to a Department of Justice press release.

Tkachuk and Ledenev were “charged by criminal complaint with one count of conspiracy to launder monetary instruments and one count of sting money laundering,” the DOJ said. If convicted, they face a maximum possible sentence of 20 years of incarceration.

Per the criminal complaint, AudiA6 offered services to conceal the origin of cryptocurrency linked to criminal activity, charging fees of up to 5% of the amount laundered.

The two defendants are in custody of Republic of Georgia authorities, and the US Attorney’s Office aims to seek their extradition to the Eastern District of Pennsylvania.

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