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Deep Sink

DeepSeek news is sinking crypto too, but will the slump last?

While tech stocks may feel lasting pain, experts predict crypto could rebound quickly.

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy

The news that DeepSeek’s new R1 model was created in just two months for under $6 million is triggering a significant sell-off, not only for the tech sector but for the crypto market, too.  

The free Chinese open AI model, launched in December, targets competitors like OpenAI’s Chat GPT and Meta’s Llama and has risen to the top of Apple’s App Store. While tech stocks like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Oracle are taking the brunt of the beating, the crypto market is also hurting. As of 11 a.m. ET, crypto’s market cap was down 5.5% in the past 24 hours, according to CoinGecko.  

The crypto ecosystem has been on a massive bull run in recent weeks, thanks mainly to Trump 2.0, but today some are panicking as they watch their assets tumble.

“DeepSeek just crashed crypto,” Altcoin Daily said on X.

Bitcoin’s dipped below $100,000 overnight, but has regained some of its losses already. Experts said that while markets have reacted aggressively, this probably won’t affect crypto in the long term.

“While this is bad news for investors in US tech stocks, it’s not bad news for the crypto industry,” said Charles Wayn, cofounder of Web3 infrastructure and digital credential network Galxe.

“Yes, we’ve seen a slide in crypto tokens today, but it won’t last as crypto is the biggest beneficiary of AI technology.”

While the correlation between bitcoin and tech stocks has been strong, hitting a two-year high in January, for most of 2024, the connection had actually broken down.

Several experts echoed the idea that the latest DeepSeek news as good for crypto, predicting the sell-off will ultimately slide off crypto within a day or two.

Kevin Rusher, founder of the real-world asset tokenization platform RAAC, went further.

“Crypto will probably be one of the biggest beneficiaries of growth in AI — wherever it comes from — if it can move blockchain technology forward and open up new possibilities for trading and more,” Rusher said.

“Most likely, we’ll see that reflected in the value of AI tokens over the coming days.”


Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy is a financial journalist who’s written for Dow Jones, The Financial Times Group, and Business Insider.

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Hyperliquid reclaims all-time high

HYPE, the native token powering perpetuals exchange Hyperliquid and its underlying blockchain, rebounded to reclaim its all-time high previously set at the start of the month.

Treasury firms Hyperliquid Strategies and Hyperion DeFi have also rallied as the token increased double digits in the last 24 hours to trade as high as $76.70, rising past its record price set nearly two weeks ago, according to CoinGecko. In the interim between all-time highs, HYPE pulled back to around $53.

The token has several tailwinds, the first coming from ETF flows. Since their inception in May, HYPE ETFs have yet to record negative weekly outflows, posting a cumulative total net inflow of $171.8 million, per SoSoValue.

The second comes from Hyperliquid spending basically everything it earns in fees to buy HYPE, a mechanism embedded into the protocol’s codebase.

The venue’s buyback funding mechanism is set to add a new source of yield. Validators of the network activated “AQAv2,” which means stablecoin deployers will share about 90% of reserve yield revenue on their supply within the protocol.

Around $6.1 billion of Circle’s USDC resides in Hyperliquid, per DefiLlama. Accrual begins on August 26 and the first payment is made on October 3, the network announced in its Discord channel last week.

A substantial amount of capital is riding on different positions of HYPE. In total, a move down to under $53 would result in the liquidation nearly 1.8 million HYPE worth of leveraged long positions on the on-chain perps venue, or $131.7 million, data from CoinGlass shows. For the upside, a climb above $100 results in the liquidation of more than 3 million worth of leveraged HYPE short positions, or $221.5 million.

HYPE’s rebound to all-time high comes after Michael Selig, chair of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, defended his agency’s decision to approve regulated perpetuals, or futures contracts without expiration dates, CNBC reported on Monday.

Last month, the CFTC approved bitcoin perpetual futures trading in the US through regulated prediction markets firm Kalshi and an affiliate of centralized exchange Coinbase.

“Perps are highly likely to become lightly regulated and thus approved in the US,” said David Pakman, head of venture investments at CoinFund.

“We expect to see perps for many different types of assets, from commodities to equities,” Pakman told Sherwood News.

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Crypto market snaps back as sentiment lifts, with altcoins from ethereum to XRP soaring

The market capitalization of the crypto industry has jumped around $83.2 billion in the last 24 hours, with privacy-focused token Zcash and worldcoin, the native cryptocurrency of the network backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, leading market gains, jumping over 22%.

But the last 24 hours have been good across the board:

Investors have been eager to see some positive signs around the Iranian conflict ending, coupled with hopeful outlooks around the CLARITY act, both breathing some life into assets, Kairos Research cofounder Ian Unsworth told Sherwood News.

Simon Shockey, a crypto strategist at crypto wallet infrastructure firm Privy, said the upswing stems from several things converging. He pointed to how alt markets broadly were very oversold following the bug found in Zcash that shook confidence.

Friday, Zcash founder Zooko Wilcox said Anthropic didn’t find any more serious bugs with the Zcash protocol after Shielded Labs requested the AI firm run a security audit of the network with Mythos.

Shockey added that the pool of willing sellers has dwindled. Even if structurally, AI is a much more compelling and asymmetric bet in the eyes of allocators, many of these crypto assets have simply run out of marginal sellers despite some shorter-term narrative-driven pumps. The only people left to sell at this point are the teams themselves and VCs.

Net-net: oversold conditions plus exhausted seller bases plus a macro backdrop thats stabilized equals a snapback, especially in names that have real usage or community conviction behind them,” Shockey told Sherwood.

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