Crypto
Table is set up for Holiday dinner. On the table is a traditional stuffed roasted turkey with side dishes and Christmas decoration.
(Kajakiki/Getty Images)
Lickin’ their lips

Crypto spikes the football this Thanksgiving as diehards prep their “I told you so”

With the price of bitcoin approaching $100,000, crypto traders say this year they’re actually looking forward to Thanksgiving conversations.

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy

Crypto’s true believers are gearing up to take a victory lap around the Thanksgiving table. 

In posts on X and crypto subreddits, investors and self-described “degens” are sharing memes and GIFs imagining the (presumably) warm welcome they’ll receive from family this holiday weekend. 

Following several difficult years that saw crypto winter tank prices — and the fall of FTX — lots of long-term “HODLers” say that now, on the heels of bitcoin’s record-smashing month, is their time. And, crucially, they say that Thanksgiving is the perfect opportunity to remind everyone just how right they’ve been about crypto. 

“Last time I talked to my Aunt and Uncle about Bitcoin they told me it was a bad idea and that their son in law said ‘stay away,’” one person wrote on the bitcoin subreddit. “That was December 2017. I’m going to see them all next week.”

Since last Thanksgiving, bitcoin is up 157%, ethereum 75%, dogecoin 410%, shiba inu 206%, cardano 163%, and solana 316%. By comparison, the S&P 500 is up 32% in the past year and the Nasdaq 34%.

Some pro-crypto posters imagine their convos will be the sweetest part of the meal. That’s especially true when it comes to family members who mocked or doubted their crypto faith, or who simply didn’t listen when they were told to invest in bitcoin last year. Bitcoin sits at about $96,000 at this writing; last T-Day it was about $37,000.

That President-elect Trump’s admin is expected to be pro-crypto, and industry antagonist SEC Chair Gensler plans to resign, only adds to the optimism. The only direction from here is up, the thinking online goes. (Of course, there’s no guarantee the recent rally in crypto prices will continue.)

Then there are the traders who say they’ve opted for the “show don’t tell” route, saying they’ve paid for an overseas Thanksgiving vacation for their entire family with crypto gains. 

Patrick Gruhn, former head of now defunct FTX Europe and founder of Perpetuals.com, told Sherwood News that “this year is a moment for me,” following a wild ride of market fluctuations and valuable lessons. 

“Thanksgiving season promises to bring about intriguing discussions about crypto this year,” Gruhn said. “The discussions Im engaged in now seem realistic and thoughtful compared to the previous overly enthusiastic conversations. Thats a reason to celebrate and boast about. At the same time, while enjoying a delicious slice of pie!”

So yes, some crypto investors have a lot to be grateful for. But while the level of crypto gloating may set records, experts don’t expect to see trading spike over the Thanksgiving weekend. 

Phillip Shoemaker, executive director of Identity.com, a nonprofit providing decentralized identity verification, said that overall there is reduced crypto trading volume every year during Thanksgiving. 

“People are taking time off,” he said. “Volatility tends to spike, too, and the market becomes erratic because people aren’t all in on trading during that time.” 

But there’s no time off for bragging, and the bulls are all in, whether grandma’s china sets are out or not. 

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy is a financial journalist who’s written for Dow Jones, The Financial Times Group, and Business Insider, among others.

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Hyperliquid reclaims all-time high

HYPE, the native token powering perpetuals exchange Hyperliquid and its underlying blockchain, rebounded to reclaim its all-time high previously set at the start of the month.

Treasury firms Hyperliquid Strategies and Hyperion DeFi have also rallied as the token increased double digits in the last 24 hours to trade as high as $76.70, rising past its record price set nearly two weeks ago, according to CoinGecko. In the interim between all-time highs, HYPE pulled back to around $53.

The token has several tailwinds, the first coming from ETF flows. Since their inception in May, HYPE ETFs have yet to record negative weekly outflows, posting a cumulative total net inflow of $171.8 million, per SoSoValue.

The second comes from Hyperliquid spending basically everything it earns in fees to buy HYPE, a mechanism embedded into the protocol’s codebase.

The venue’s buyback funding mechanism is set to add a new source of yield. Validators of the network activated “AQAv2,” which means stablecoin deployers will share about 90% of reserve yield revenue on their supply within the protocol.

Around $6.1 billion of Circle’s USDC resides in Hyperliquid, per DefiLlama. Accrual begins on August 26 and the first payment is made on October 3, the network announced in its Discord channel last week.

A substantial amount of capital is riding on different positions of HYPE. In total, a move down to under $53 would result in the liquidation nearly 1.8 million HYPE worth of leveraged long positions on the on-chain perps venue, or $131.7 million, data from CoinGlass shows. For the upside, a climb above $100 results in the liquidation of more than 3 million worth of leveraged HYPE short positions, or $221.5 million.

HYPE’s rebound to all-time high comes after Michael Selig, chair of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, defended his agency’s decision to approve regulated perpetuals, or futures contracts without expiration dates, CNBC reported on Monday.

Last month, the CFTC approved bitcoin perpetual futures trading in the US through regulated prediction markets firm Kalshi and an affiliate of centralized exchange Coinbase.

“Perps are highly likely to become lightly regulated and thus approved in the US,” said David Pakman, head of venture investments at CoinFund.

“We expect to see perps for many different types of assets, from commodities to equities,” Pakman told Sherwood News.

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Crypto market snaps back as sentiment lifts, with altcoins from ethereum to XRP soaring

The market capitalization of the crypto industry has jumped around $83.2 billion in the last 24 hours, with privacy-focused token Zcash and worldcoin, the native cryptocurrency of the network backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, leading market gains, jumping over 22%.

But the last 24 hours have been good across the board:

Investors have been eager to see some positive signs around the Iranian conflict ending, coupled with hopeful outlooks around the CLARITY act, both breathing some life into assets, Kairos Research cofounder Ian Unsworth told Sherwood News.

Simon Shockey, a crypto strategist at crypto wallet infrastructure firm Privy, said the upswing stems from several things converging. He pointed to how alt markets broadly were very oversold following the bug found in Zcash that shook confidence.

Friday, Zcash founder Zooko Wilcox said Anthropic didn’t find any more serious bugs with the Zcash protocol after Shielded Labs requested the AI firm run a security audit of the network with Mythos.

Shockey added that the pool of willing sellers has dwindled. Even if structurally, AI is a much more compelling and asymmetric bet in the eyes of allocators, many of these crypto assets have simply run out of marginal sellers despite some shorter-term narrative-driven pumps. The only people left to sell at this point are the teams themselves and VCs.

Net-net: oversold conditions plus exhausted seller bases plus a macro backdrop thats stabilized equals a snapback, especially in names that have real usage or community conviction behind them,” Shockey told Sherwood.

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