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A worker installs a new row of bitcoin-mining machines (Mark Felix/Getty Images)

Bitcoin miners hit with downgrades, winter storm

While the bitcoin hashrate has crashed, experts say this is a temporary reaction to the weather.

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy

Amid mounting fears that bitcoin is entering a bear market, bitcoin miners are also facing challenges, including difficult pivots to AI and a winter storm that forced some miners to shutter their operations. 

KBW analyst Stephen Glagola downgraded several companies, including Bitfarms, Bitdeer, and HIVE, to “market perform” from “outperform.” The stocks all dipped in early trading but recovered those losses in Tuesday’s session.

Several bitcoin miners have pivoted to AI to mitigate losses from bitcoin’s lackluster performance and secure steadier cash inflows, but not all have been able to transition successfully.

CoinDesk reported that Glagola’s downgrades were driven by the fact that “while the industrys pivot toward high-performance computing (HPC) and AI hosting is compelling, the path to monetization is fraught with execution risks and long lead times.”

Specifically, CoinDesk noted:

  • Bitfarms: “The market has already priced in the potential of its 120-megawatt (MW) Sharon, Pennsylvania, site.”

  • Bitdeer: Its current small scale, concentrated shareholder control, and related-party exposure were marked as a concern.

  • HIVE: Its reliance on partners makes it sub-optimally positioned next to pure-play data center competitors.

Additionally, the winter storm currently battering the US is putting pressure on their operations. 

SwanDesk CEO Jacob King posted on X that bitcoin’s hashrate has crashed to 690 exahashes per second from 1.13 zetahashes per second in just two days, “the largest drop ever recorded.”

“Large numbers of miners have powered down their machines. With prices falling and operating costs fixed, many will be forced to sell BTC to stay solvent, accelerating the downward spiral,” King wrote. 

Timot Lamarre, director of market research at Unchained, told Sherwood News that given the prevalence of bitcoin miners in Texas and the ability to curtail power usage by switching off when demand drives energy prices higher, the dip in bitcoin hashrate is likely temporary. 

Jessy Gilger, a senior adviser at Gannett Wealth Advisors, said that this record drop in hashrate isnt a network collapse.

“Bitcoin’s difficulty adjustment is a built-in balancing factor that has managed these fluctuations for 17 years, and the network will inevitably stabilize as the weather clears,” he said.

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Crypto market snaps back as sentiment lifts, with altcoins from ethereum to XRP soaring

The market capitalization of the crypto industry has jumped around $83.2 billion in the last 24 hours, with privacy-focused token Zcash and worldcoin, the native cryptocurrency of the network backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, leading market gains, jumping over 22%.

But the last 24 hours have been good across the board:

Investors have been eager to see some positive signs around the Iranian conflict ending, coupled with hopeful outlooks around the CLARITY act, both breathing some life into assets, Kairos Research cofounder Ian Unsworth told Sherwood News.

Simon Shockey, a crypto strategist at crypto wallet infrastructure firm Privy, said the upswing stems from several things converging. He pointed to how alt markets broadly were very oversold following the bug found in Zcash that shook confidence.

Friday, Zcash founder Zooko Wilcox said Anthropic didn’t find any more serious bugs with the Zcash protocol after Shielded Labs requested the AI firm run a security audit of the network with Mythos.

Shockey added that the pool of willing sellers has dwindled. Even if structurally, AI is a much more compelling and asymmetric bet in the eyes of allocators, many of these crypto assets have simply run out of marginal sellers despite some shorter-term narrative-driven pumps. The only people left to sell at this point are the teams themselves and VCs.

Net-net: oversold conditions plus exhausted seller bases plus a macro backdrop thats stabilized equals a snapback, especially in names that have real usage or community conviction behind them,” Shockey told Sherwood.

$389M

US Attorney David Metcalf announced Thursday the arrests of Ruslan Igorevich Tkachuk and Alexander Vladimirovich Ledenev, alleged senior members of AudiA6, a cryptocurrency money-laundering service believed to be responsible for laundering over $389 million.

The arrests coincided with a coordinated international takedown of AudiA6 and its infrastructure, involving the search of three properties, the seizure of servers and domains connected to the organization, as well as freezing cryptocurrency assets, according to a Department of Justice press release.

Tkachuk and Ledenev were “charged by criminal complaint with one count of conspiracy to launder monetary instruments and one count of sting money laundering,” the DOJ said. If convicted, they face a maximum possible sentence of 20 years of incarceration.

Per the criminal complaint, AudiA6 offered services to conceal the origin of cryptocurrency linked to criminal activity, charging fees of up to 5% of the amount laundered.

The two defendants are in custody of Republic of Georgia authorities, and the US Attorney’s Office aims to seek their extradition to the Eastern District of Pennsylvania.

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