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Bitcoin market pain intensifies as ETF outflows continue and miner exits for AI

Meanwhile, Strategy is unfazed by bitcoin’s woes and announced its 100th bitcoin purchase.

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy

To say the sentiment around bitcoin is gloomy is to put it mildly. The asset is continuing to struggle, dropping below $65,000 on Sunday evening. As of 9:30 a.m. ET Monday, bitcoin’s market cap has dropped to $1.3 trillion from its peak of $2.5 trillion on October 6.

Timothy Misir, head of research at Blockhead Research Network, said that the market pain has intensified beneath the surface and at the $67,000 level, unrealized losses equal 19% of the market cap, “echoing May 2022’s drawdown structure.”

“Bitcoin has slipped below its True Market Mean, drifting defensively toward the Realized Price (~$54.9K). This range defines the lower boundary of the current cycle’s structural support. The selloff that began in January has matured into a broader structural retracement,” Misir wrote in a February 23 note.

Meanwhile, bitcoin ETFs have seen $993 million in outflows in February. The funds have seen five consecutive weeks of outflows now totaling $3.8 billion, the longest exodus since February 2025, according to SoSoValue. Crypto liquidations reached $503.8 million in the past 24 hours, CoinGlass data shows. Bitcoin suffered $234.1 million in liquidations, with the bulk of them — $207 million — in long positions.

“In the crypto market, BTC’s recent decline has once again flushed out long positioning, while a visible concentration of short interest remains near the 70,000 psychological level. If macro uncertainty persists, capital preferences may continue to favor lower leverage, reinforcing a range-bound structure,” said Dean Chen, a Bitunix analyst.

ETF balances
(Glassnode)

There is also another layer adding to bitcoin’s pain, Misir said: miner behavior.

Over the weekend, former bitcoin miner Bitdeer announced it had sold all of its bitcoin holdings to fund its pivot to AI.

“Miner treasury sales historically signal balance-sheet discipline during late-cycle compression phases,” Misir said.

Bitdeer tried to assuage investors, saying that selling bitcoin “should not be a concern for the broader market.”

“We are currently evaluating multiple non-binding powered land acquisition opportunities, and we believe it is prudent to prepare liquidity now,” the company wrote on X.  

This comes amid growing concerns that digital asset treasuries (DATs), many of which are under pressure, might be forced to sell, further straining bitcoin.

Nic Puckrin, cofounder of Coin Bureau, said that, for instance, Nakamoto’s shares are down 99.32% over the last 280 days, with unrealized losses of $270 million.

“As contagion increases, we could see further corporate selling in the weeks to come, pushing the price of bitcoin toward its bear market low,” Puckrin said, adding that few DATs have the balance sheet strength and stamina to withstand a long bitcoin downturn the way Strategy can.

Speaking of Strategy, the company remains unfazed and announced its 100th bitcoin purchase since it began accumulating bitcoin in August 2020, raising its pile to 717,722 bitcoin. Strategy funded its latest purchase by selling shares of Strategy’s Class A common stock, which sent the stock down in early trading.

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Hyperliquid reclaims all-time high

HYPE, the native token powering perpetuals exchange Hyperliquid and its underlying blockchain, rebounded to reclaim its all-time high previously set at the start of the month.

Treasury firms Hyperliquid Strategies and Hyperion DeFi have also rallied as the token increased double digits in the last 24 hours to trade as high as $76.70, rising past its record price set nearly two weeks ago, according to CoinGecko. In the interim between all-time highs, HYPE pulled back to around $53.

The token has several tailwinds, the first coming from ETF flows. Since their inception in May, HYPE ETFs have yet to record negative weekly outflows, posting a cumulative total net inflow of $171.8 million, per SoSoValue.

The second comes from Hyperliquid spending basically everything it earns in fees to buy HYPE, a mechanism embedded into the protocol’s codebase.

The venue’s buyback funding mechanism is set to add a new source of yield. Validators of the network activated “AQAv2,” which means stablecoin deployers will share about 90% of reserve yield revenue on their supply within the protocol.

Around $6.1 billion of Circle’s USDC resides in Hyperliquid, per DefiLlama. Accrual begins on August 26 and the first payment is made on October 3, the network announced in its Discord channel last week.

A substantial amount of capital is riding on different positions of HYPE. In total, a move down to under $53 would result in the liquidation nearly 1.8 million HYPE worth of leveraged long positions on the on-chain perps venue, or $131.7 million, data from CoinGlass shows. For the upside, a climb above $100 results in the liquidation of more than 3 million worth of leveraged HYPE short positions, or $221.5 million.

HYPE’s rebound to all-time high comes after Michael Selig, chair of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, defended his agency’s decision to approve regulated perpetuals, or futures contracts without expiration dates, CNBC reported on Monday.

Last month, the CFTC approved bitcoin perpetual futures trading in the US through regulated prediction markets firm Kalshi and an affiliate of centralized exchange Coinbase.

“Perps are highly likely to become lightly regulated and thus approved in the US,” said David Pakman, head of venture investments at CoinFund.

“We expect to see perps for many different types of assets, from commodities to equities,” Pakman told Sherwood News.

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Crypto market snaps back as sentiment lifts, with altcoins from ethereum to XRP soaring

The market capitalization of the crypto industry has jumped around $83.2 billion in the last 24 hours, with privacy-focused token Zcash and worldcoin, the native cryptocurrency of the network backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, leading market gains, jumping over 22%.

But the last 24 hours have been good across the board:

Investors have been eager to see some positive signs around the Iranian conflict ending, coupled with hopeful outlooks around the CLARITY act, both breathing some life into assets, Kairos Research cofounder Ian Unsworth told Sherwood News.

Simon Shockey, a crypto strategist at crypto wallet infrastructure firm Privy, said the upswing stems from several things converging. He pointed to how alt markets broadly were very oversold following the bug found in Zcash that shook confidence.

Friday, Zcash founder Zooko Wilcox said Anthropic didn’t find any more serious bugs with the Zcash protocol after Shielded Labs requested the AI firm run a security audit of the network with Mythos.

Shockey added that the pool of willing sellers has dwindled. Even if structurally, AI is a much more compelling and asymmetric bet in the eyes of allocators, many of these crypto assets have simply run out of marginal sellers despite some shorter-term narrative-driven pumps. The only people left to sell at this point are the teams themselves and VCs.

Net-net: oversold conditions plus exhausted seller bases plus a macro backdrop thats stabilized equals a snapback, especially in names that have real usage or community conviction behind them,” Shockey told Sherwood.

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