Crypto
Bitcoin Medals Manufactured At Sakamoto Metal
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Bitcoin is underperforming precious metals now, but experts warn of “short-sighted” view

The debate on investing in digital gold vs. actual gold continues, but it’s helpful to put each one’s performance in context.

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy

Bitcoin is hovering just below $90,000, a level it’s struggling to break, while precious metals are on a tear, with gold and silver setting new records as the debasement trade continues to fuel the rally.

The DeFi Report compared where bitcoin stood 3.5 months post-peak in the last two cycles, and in this context, the asset still appears to fare well, or less bad, than its performance suggests.

While bitcoin is now down 29% 110 days after it hit its all-time high, during the 2021 cycle, bitcoin was down 41% 110 days after its November 9, 2021, peak. Meanwhile, in the 2017 cycle, bitcoin was down 55% 110 days after its peak on December 18, 2017.

“BTC holding up quite well, relatively speaking. Yet it feels worse this time because other (rival) assets [gold/silver] are outperforming on BTC’s weakness,” according to The DeFi Report.

Eric Balchunas, senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg, went even further in his precious metals comparisons on X.

“The dread I see from bitcoiners (and the football spiking from the haters) is very short-sighted to me given that since 2022 (right before the BlackRock ETF filing) Bitcoin is up 429%, gold 177%, Silver 350%, QQQ 140%,” he wrote, adding the “institutionalization narrative got priced in very quickly and ahead of it all actually happening.”

Nic Puckrin, cofounder of Coin Bureau, told Sherwood News that the precious metals trade has been gathering momentum for months and, as with any momentum trade, could run for far longer than many expect.

“At this point, we’re likely to see retail FOMO, as investors who have missed out on the metals rally so far pile into the market. For the time being, the macro picture supports a risk-off environment where gold truly shines,” he said.

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Crypto market snaps back as sentiment lifts, with altcoins from ethereum to XRP soaring

The market capitalization of the crypto industry has jumped around $83.2 billion in the last 24 hours, with privacy-focused token Zcash and worldcoin, the native cryptocurrency of the network backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, leading market gains, jumping over 22%.

But the last 24 hours have been good across the board:

Investors have been eager to see some positive signs around the Iranian conflict ending, coupled with hopeful outlooks around the CLARITY act, both breathing some life into assets, Kairos Research cofounder Ian Unsworth told Sherwood News.

Simon Shockey, a crypto strategist at crypto wallet infrastructure firm Privy, said the upswing stems from several things converging. He pointed to how alt markets broadly were very oversold following the bug found in Zcash that shook confidence.

Friday, Zcash founder Zooko Wilcox said Anthropic didn’t find any more serious bugs with the Zcash protocol after Shielded Labs requested the AI firm run a security audit of the network with Mythos.

Shockey added that the pool of willing sellers has dwindled. Even if structurally, AI is a much more compelling and asymmetric bet in the eyes of allocators, many of these crypto assets have simply run out of marginal sellers despite some shorter-term narrative-driven pumps. The only people left to sell at this point are the teams themselves and VCs.

Net-net: oversold conditions plus exhausted seller bases plus a macro backdrop thats stabilized equals a snapback, especially in names that have real usage or community conviction behind them,” Shockey told Sherwood.

$389M

US Attorney David Metcalf announced Thursday the arrests of Ruslan Igorevich Tkachuk and Alexander Vladimirovich Ledenev, alleged senior members of AudiA6, a cryptocurrency money-laundering service believed to be responsible for laundering over $389 million.

The arrests coincided with a coordinated international takedown of AudiA6 and its infrastructure, involving the search of three properties, the seizure of servers and domains connected to the organization, as well as freezing cryptocurrency assets, according to a Department of Justice press release.

Tkachuk and Ledenev were “charged by criminal complaint with one count of conspiracy to launder monetary instruments and one count of sting money laundering,” the DOJ said. If convicted, they face a maximum possible sentence of 20 years of incarceration.

Per the criminal complaint, AudiA6 offered services to conceal the origin of cryptocurrency linked to criminal activity, charging fees of up to 5% of the amount laundered.

The two defendants are in custody of Republic of Georgia authorities, and the US Attorney’s Office aims to seek their extradition to the Eastern District of Pennsylvania.

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