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Catherine Wood, CEO of Ark Invest, chats with fellow bitcoin bull Michael Saylor, CEO of Strategy (Marco Bello/Getty Images)
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Ark projects bitcoin price as high as $2.4 million

Amid a bullish week for bitcoin, Ark Invest is predicting huge gains by 2030.

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy

Bitcoin’s had a strong week, decoupling from risk assets amid market volatility and tariff chaos, crossing $94,000 for the first time since March 2. The asset started the week hovering around $87,000 and is at about $94,700 as of Friday morning. 

Catherine Wood’s Ark Invest raised its 2030 bitcoin price target to an eye-popping $2.4 million in a bull scenario using an experimental model that discounts lost or long-held coins. The previous projection in its Big Ideas 2025 report for a bull market was $1.5 million. Even in a bear market environment, Ark’s new model sees bitcoin going to $500,000 by 2030.

To put this in perspective: bitcoin’s all-time high is just over $109,000, and it has not crossed $100,000 since early February.  Five years ago, bitcoin was at around $9,000, so it has 10x-ed from there, but it would have to grow more than 20x in the next five years to hit $2.4 million.

“Digital gold contributes the most to our bear and base cases, while institutional investment contributes the most to our bull case,” Ark analyst David Puell wrote in the report.

Corporations also continued feeling bullish on bitcoin, with Japanese company Metaplanet adding 145 bitcoin to its corporate treasury to give them an even 5,000 bitcoin. Earlier in the week, Michael Saylor’s Strategy added 6,556 bitcoin, giving the firm 538,200 bitcoin in total. 

Also this week, Twenty One, a bitcoin-native company newly formed by Tether, SoftBank Group, and Strike CEO Jack Mallers, said it would launch with 42,000 bitcoin. This would make it the third-largest corporate holder, following Strategy and MARA Holdings. The new firm said it could also be a “potentially superior vehicle for investors seeking capital-efficient bitcoin exposure” than Saylor’s company.

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Hyperliquid reclaims all-time high

HYPE, the native token powering perpetuals exchange Hyperliquid and its underlying blockchain, rebounded to reclaim its all-time high previously set at the start of the month.

Treasury firms Hyperliquid Strategies and Hyperion DeFi have also rallied as the token increased double digits in the last 24 hours to trade as high as $76.70, rising past its record price set nearly two weeks ago, according to CoinGecko. In the interim between all-time highs, HYPE pulled back to around $53.

The token has several tailwinds, the first coming from ETF flows. Since their inception in May, HYPE ETFs have yet to record negative weekly outflows, posting a cumulative total net inflow of $171.8 million, per SoSoValue.

The second comes from Hyperliquid spending basically everything it earns in fees to buy HYPE, a mechanism embedded into the protocol’s codebase.

The venue’s buyback funding mechanism is set to add a new source of yield. Validators of the network activated “AQAv2,” which means stablecoin deployers will share about 90% of reserve yield revenue on their supply within the protocol.

Around $6.1 billion of Circle’s USDC resides in Hyperliquid, per DefiLlama. Accrual begins on August 26 and the first payment is made on October 3, the network announced in its Discord channel last week.

A substantial amount of capital is riding on different positions of HYPE. In total, a move down to under $53 would result in the liquidation nearly 1.8 million HYPE worth of leveraged long positions on the on-chain perps venue, or $131.7 million, data from CoinGlass shows. For the upside, a climb above $100 results in the liquidation of more than 3 million worth of leveraged HYPE short positions, or $221.5 million.

HYPE’s rebound to all-time high comes after Michael Selig, chair of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, defended his agency’s decision to approve regulated perpetuals, or futures contracts without expiration dates, CNBC reported on Monday.

Last month, the CFTC approved bitcoin perpetual futures trading in the US through regulated prediction markets firm Kalshi and an affiliate of centralized exchange Coinbase.

“Perps are highly likely to become lightly regulated and thus approved in the US,” said David Pakman, head of venture investments at CoinFund.

“We expect to see perps for many different types of assets, from commodities to equities,” Pakman told Sherwood News.

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Crypto market snaps back as sentiment lifts, with altcoins from ethereum to XRP soaring

The market capitalization of the crypto industry has jumped around $83.2 billion in the last 24 hours, with privacy-focused token Zcash and worldcoin, the native cryptocurrency of the network backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, leading market gains, jumping over 22%.

But the last 24 hours have been good across the board:

Investors have been eager to see some positive signs around the Iranian conflict ending, coupled with hopeful outlooks around the CLARITY act, both breathing some life into assets, Kairos Research cofounder Ian Unsworth told Sherwood News.

Simon Shockey, a crypto strategist at crypto wallet infrastructure firm Privy, said the upswing stems from several things converging. He pointed to how alt markets broadly were very oversold following the bug found in Zcash that shook confidence.

Friday, Zcash founder Zooko Wilcox said Anthropic didn’t find any more serious bugs with the Zcash protocol after Shielded Labs requested the AI firm run a security audit of the network with Mythos.

Shockey added that the pool of willing sellers has dwindled. Even if structurally, AI is a much more compelling and asymmetric bet in the eyes of allocators, many of these crypto assets have simply run out of marginal sellers despite some shorter-term narrative-driven pumps. The only people left to sell at this point are the teams themselves and VCs.

Net-net: oversold conditions plus exhausted seller bases plus a macro backdrop thats stabilized equals a snapback, especially in names that have real usage or community conviction behind them,” Shockey told Sherwood.

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